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Women's Flyweight

5 Rounds

Erin Blanchfield won · SUB R2

Elo1484

Elo1529

Jessica AndradevsErin BlanchfieldUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Andrade vs. Blanchfield · Saturday, February 18, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Erin Blanchfield won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:37

Style matchupJessica Andrade: WrestlervsErin Blanchfield: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Erin Blanchfield wins(63.0%)

Actual result: Erin Blanchfield wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Erin Blanchfield at +100 American odds

+$100 profit

$200 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Erin Blanchfield threatens submissions; Jessica Andrade has lost 38% of fights by sub.
Erin Blanchfield has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Andrade

Red Corner

Erin Blanchfield

Blue Corner

-120

(55%)

Vegas Odds

+100

(50%)

1484

Elo

1529

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'1"

Height

5'4"

157.48 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica AndradeL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23

vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24

vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24

SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25

vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25

latest

Erin BlanchfieldW2 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Molly McCann · Nov 22

vs Taila Santos · Aug 23

vs Manon Fiorot · Mar 24

vs Rose Namajunas · Nov 24

SUBvs Tracy Cortez · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica AndradeMetricErin Blanchfield

6.37

Strikes / min

5.24

5.58

Strikes absorbed / min

4.25

54%

Strike defense

58%

2.10

TDs / 15 min

1.96

75%

Takedown defense

78%

0.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.79evenly matched on net striking+0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessica AndradeErin Blanchfield

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Erin Blanchfield(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -45.0|Blue +45.0

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +2.4|Blue -2.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -70.0|Blue +70.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica AndradeTargetErin Blanchfield

By target zone

26% acc · 53%

Head

36% acc · 75%

31% acc · 9%

Body

50% acc · 4%

100% acc · 38%

Leg

100% acc · 22%

By position

36% acc · 94%

Distance

43% acc · 98%

50% acc · 6%

Clinch

33% acc · 2%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessica Andrade rounds

even

Erin Blanchfield rounds

Round 1Erin Blanchfield edged it

Sig. strikes40

Takedowns0

Control0:00

44Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

Round 2Jessica Andrade edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:00

7Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:24Control

Fight Stats

Totals

53 / 143

Sig Strikes

51 / 120

36%

Sig Str %

39.5%

56 / 147

Total Strikes

53 / 124

0 / 1

TDs

1 / 3

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

1:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Erin Blanchfield	44 / 100	46 / 104	0 / 2	0
1	Jessica Andrade	40 / 106	43 / 110	0 / 1	0
2	Erin Blanchfield	7 / 20	7 / 20	1 / 1	1
2	Jessica Andrade	13 / 37	13 / 37	0 / 0	0

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach62.0"

Fights30

Erin Blanchfield

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights9