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Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Jessica Andrade won · U-DEC R3
Elo1484
Elo1506
Angela Hill

Jessica AndradevsAngela HillUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bermudez vs. The Korean Zombie · Saturday, February 4, 2017Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Jessica Andrade won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJessica Andrade: WrestlervsAngela Hill: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jessica Andrade wins(72.1%)

Actual result: Jessica Andrade wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jessica Andrade at -800 American odds

+$13 profit

$113 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jessica Andrade enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jessica Andrade
Red Corner
VS
Angela Hill
Blue Corner
-800
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+550
(15%)
1484
Elo
1506
34
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'1"
Height
5'3"
157.48 cm
Reach
162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessica AndradeL3 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Mackenzie Dern · Nov 23
W
vs Marina Rodriguez · Apr 24
L
vs Natalia Silva · Sep 24
L
SUBvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · May 25
L
vs Loopy Godinez · Aug 25
latest
Angela Hill
oldest →
L
vs Tabatha Ricci · Aug 24
W
vs Ketlen Souza · Feb 25
L
vs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 25
L
vs Fatima Kline · Nov 25
W
DECvs Xiong Jingnan · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessica AndradeMetricAngela Hill
6.37
Strikes / min
5.37
5.58
Strikes absorbed / min
5.02
54%
Strike defense
60%
2.10
TDs / 15 min
0.75
75%
Takedown defense
72%
0.30
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.79evenly matched on net striking+0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1545 vs 1483Strikes59.4 vs 48.7Takedowns1.7 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.56 vs 0.00Form0.6 vs -0.6
Jessica AndradeAngela Hill

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Jessica Andrade(10 fights)Angela Hill(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -22.3|Blue +22.3
Recent Form
Red +1.2|Blue -1.2
Striker Score
Red +0.0|Blue -0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Layoff
Red -343.0|Blue +343.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessica AndradeTargetAngela Hill

By target zone

86
35% acc · 66%
Head
61
38% acc · 69%
41
60% acc · 31%
Body
24
56% acc · 27%
4
80% acc · 3%
Leg
4
80% acc · 4%

By position

73
35% acc · 56%
Distance
55
38% acc · 62%
58
50% acc · 44%
Clinch
30
53% acc · 34%
0
Ground
4
57% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Jessica Andrade rounds
0
even
0
Angela Hill rounds
Round 1Jessica Andrade edged it
Sig. strikes39
Takedowns0
Control0:20
26Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:01Control
Round 2Jessica Andrade edged it
Sig. strikes33
Takedowns2
Control1:09
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:02Control
Round 3Jessica Andrade edged it
Sig. strikes59
Takedowns0
Control0:06
Knockdowns0
36Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
131 / 322
Sig Strikes
89 / 209
40%
Sig Str %
42.7%
148 / 342
Total Strikes
99 / 220
2 / 3
TDs
0 / 0
50%
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
1:35
Ctrl Time
0:07

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Angela Hill26 / 7329 / 770 / 00
1Jessica Andrade39 / 10242 / 1050 / 10
2Angela Hill27 / 5529 / 570 / 00
2Jessica Andrade33 / 8142 / 922 / 20
3Angela Hill36 / 8141 / 860 / 00
3Jessica Andrade59 / 13964 / 1450 / 00

Jessica Andrade

StanceOrthodox
Height61.0"
Reach62.0"
Fights30

Angela Hill

StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights30