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Women's Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Elizabeth Phillips won · U-DEC R3

Elo1355

Elo1491

Jessamyn DukevsElizabeth PhillipsUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · Saturday, July 25, 2015Chicago, Illinois, USA

Official fight result

Elizabeth Phillips won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jessamyn Duke wins(59.0%)

Actual result: Elizabeth Phillips wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jessamyn Duke at +130 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Elizabeth Phillips enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jessamyn Duke has a 20cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jessamyn Duke

Red Corner

Elizabeth Phillips

Blue Corner

+130

(43%)

Vegas Odds

-150

(60%)

1355

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

5'6"

185.42 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jessamyn DukeL2 streak

oldest →

vs Peggy Morgan · Nov 13

vs Bethe Correia · Apr 14

KOvs Leslie Smith · Jul 14

latest

Elizabeth PhillipsL3 streak

oldest →

vs Valerie Letourneau · Jun 14

vs Milana Dudieva · Aug 14

vs Raquel Pennington · Aug 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jessamyn DukeMetricElizabeth Phillips

4.83

Strikes / min

2.60

4.43

Strikes absorbed / min

3.07

57%

Strike defense

58%

1.27

TDs / 15 min

0.75

50%

Takedown defense

53%

1.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.40evenly matched on net striking-0.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jessamyn DukeElizabeth Phillips

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jessamyn Duke(4 fights)Elizabeth Phillips(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -135.5|Blue +135.5

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +2.4|Blue -2.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Layoff

Red +38.0|Blue -38.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jessamyn DukeTargetElizabeth Phillips

By target zone

40% acc · 75%

Head

46% acc · 88%

70% acc · 19%

Body

75% acc · 6%

100% acc · 6%

Leg

75% acc · 6%

By position

42% acc · 75%

Distance

44% acc · 69%

57% acc · 22%

Clinch

33% acc · 2%

50% acc · 3%

Ground

67% acc · 29%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jessamyn Duke rounds

even

Elizabeth Phillips rounds

Round 1Elizabeth Phillips edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:16

26Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:06Control

Round 2Elizabeth Phillips edged it

Sig. strikes4

Takedowns0

Control0:26

10Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:31Control

Round 3Jessamyn Duke edged it

Sig. strikes26

Takedowns2

Control2:37

13Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:04Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

36 / 80

Sig Strikes

49 / 101

39%

Sig Str %

48%

54 / 99

Total Strikes

83 / 140

2 / 3

TDs

2 / 4

50%

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

3:19

Ctrl Time

6:41

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Elizabeth Phillips	26 / 45	44 / 63	0 / 1	0
1	Jessamyn Duke	6 / 19	7 / 20	0 / 0	0
2	Elizabeth Phillips	10 / 19	25 / 39	1 / 1	1
2	Jessamyn Duke	4 / 12	6 / 14	0 / 1	1
3	Elizabeth Phillips	13 / 37	14 / 38	1 / 2	0
3	Jessamyn Duke	26 / 49	41 / 65	2 / 2	2

Jessamyn Duke

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4

Elizabeth Phillips

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights4