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Featherweight
5 Rounds
Jeremy Stephens won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1473
Jeremy Stephens
Elo1530
Dooho Choi

Jeremy StephensvsDooho ChoiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · Sunday, January 14, 2018St. Louis, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Jeremy Stephens won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 2:36

Style matchupJeremy Stephens: Well-roundedvsDooho Choi: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Dooho Choi wins(50.3%)

Actual result: Jeremy Stephens wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Dooho Choi at -165 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jeremy Stephens enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
  • Dooho Choi enters on a 3-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jeremy Stephens
Red Corner
VS
Dooho Choi
Blue Corner
+145
(41%)
Vegas Odds
-165
(62%)
1473
Elo
1530
40
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jeremy StephensL5 streak
oldest →
L
vs Yair Rodriguez · Oct 19
L
KOvs Calvin Kattar · May 20
L
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Jul 21
L
vs Mason Jones · May 25
L
SUBvs King Green · May 26
latest
Dooho ChoiW3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Cub Swanson · Dec 16
L
KOvs Charles Jourdain · Dec 19
W
KOvs Bill Algeo · Jul 24
W
KOvs Nate Landwehr · Dec 24
W
KOvs Daniel Santos · May 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jeremy StephensMetricDooho Choi
3.13
Strikes / min
4.67
3.25
Strikes absorbed / min
4.02
57%
Strike defense
56%
1.10
TDs / 15 min
1.43
61%
Takedown defense
47%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.12evenly matched on net striking+0.65

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1515 vs 1534Strikes38.2 vs 27.3Takedowns1.0 vs 0.3Sub Atts0.38 vs 0.00Form0.0 vs 0.1
Jeremy StephensDooho Choi

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14601480150015201540← oldermost recent →
Jeremy Stephens(10 fights)Dooho Choi(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -57.1|Blue +57.1
Recent Form
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Striker Score
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -273.0|Blue +273.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jeremy StephensTargetDooho Choi

By target zone

32
29% acc · 65%
Head
24
47% acc · 55%
6
100% acc · 12%
Body
3
43% acc · 7%
11
69% acc · 22%
Leg
17
81% acc · 39%

By position

42
34% acc · 86%
Distance
42
55% acc · 95%
3
100% acc · 6%
Clinch
2
67% acc · 5%
4
67% acc · 8%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Jeremy Stephens rounds
0
even
1
Dooho Choi rounds
Round 1Dooho Choi edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
30Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:04Control
Round 2Jeremy Stephens edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns0
Control0:11
Knockdowns1
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
49 / 133
Sig Strikes
44 / 79
37.5%
Sig Str %
57.5%
49 / 133
Total Strikes
45 / 80
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:11
Ctrl Time
0:04

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Dooho Choi30 / 5730 / 570 / 00
1Jeremy Stephens22 / 7322 / 730 / 00
2Dooho Choi14 / 2215 / 230 / 00
2Jeremy Stephens27 / 6027 / 600 / 00

Jeremy Stephens

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights27

Dooho Choi

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights8