Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Darko Stosic won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1367
Jeremy Kimball
Elo1380
Darko Stosic

Jeremy KimballvsDarko StosicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs. Smith · Sunday, July 22, 2018Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany

Official fight result

Darko Stosic won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 3:13

Model Prediction: Jeremy Kimball wins(58.5%)

Actual result: Darko Stosic wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jeremy Kimball at +190 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Darko Stosic enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Darko Stosic is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jeremy Kimball has lost 67% of fights by KO.
  • Darko Stosic has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Jeremy Kimball (52.9%).
  • Darko Stosic has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jeremy Kimball
Red Corner
VS
Darko Stosic
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
1367
Elo
1380
35
Age
34
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jeremy Kimball
oldest →
L
KOvs Marcos Rogerio de Lima · Jan 17
W
KOvs Josh Stansbury · Jun 17
L
SUBvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 17
latest
Darko StosicL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Devin Clark · Jun 19
L
vs Kennedy Nzechukwu · Aug 19
L
vs Jamahal Hill · Jan 20
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jeremy KimballMetricDarko Stosic
2.81
Strikes / min
2.61
3.84
Strikes absorbed / min
4.04
49%
Strike defense
58%
1.41
TDs / 15 min
3.42
50%
Takedown defense
83%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.03evenly matched on net striking-1.43

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1485 vs 1500Strikes8.7 vs —Takedowns0.3 vs —Sub Atts0.00 vs —Form-0.4 vs 0.0
Jeremy KimballDarko Stosic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Jeremy Kimball(4 fights)Darko Stosic(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -13.5|Blue +13.5
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red -49.5|Blue +49.5
Grappler Score
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jeremy KimballTargetDarko Stosic

By target zone

1
8% acc · 25%
Head
8
67% acc · 89%
0
Body
0
0% acc
3
100% acc · 75%
Leg
1
50% acc · 11%

By position

4
25% acc · 100%
Distance
1
20% acc · 11%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
8
73% acc · 89%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Jeremy Kimball rounds
0
even
1
Darko Stosic rounds
Round 1Darko Stosic edged it
Sig. strikes4
Takedowns0
Control0:00
9Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:12Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
4 / 16
Sig Strikes
9 / 16
25%
Sig Str %
56%
4 / 16
Total Strikes
9 / 17
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
0:12

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Darko Stosic9 / 169 / 170 / 00
1Jeremy Kimball4 / 164 / 160 / 10

Jeremy Kimball

StanceSwitch
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights4

Darko Stosic

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4