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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Jeremiah Wells won · SUB R1

Elo1512

Elo1472

Jeremiah WellsvsBlood DiamondUFC Prediction Result

UFC 271: Adesanya vs. Whittaker 2 · Saturday, February 12, 2022Houston, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Jeremiah Wells won

SUB · Round 1 · 4:38

Style matchupJeremiah Wells: WrestlervsBlood Diamond: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Jeremiah Wells wins(80.0%)

Actual result: Jeremiah Wells wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jeremiah Wells at -240 American odds

+$42 profit

$142 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Blood Diamond has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.

Tale of the Tape

Jeremiah Wells

Red Corner

Blood Diamond

Blue Corner

-240

(71%)

Vegas Odds

—

1512

Elo

1472

Age

Switch

Stance

Switch

5'9"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

193.04 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jeremiah Wells

oldest →

KOvs Court McGee · Jun 22

vs Matthew Semelsberger · Apr 23

SUBvs Carlston Harris · Aug 23

vs Max Griffin · Feb 24

vs Themba Gorimbo · Nov 25

latest

Blood DiamondL2 streak

oldest →

vs Orion Cosce · Jul 22

vs Charles Radtke · Sep 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jeremiah WellsMetricBlood Diamond

2.35

Strikes / min

3.12

1.28

Strikes absorbed / min

2.17

48%

Strike defense

48%

3.06

TDs / 15 min

0.00

50%

Takedown defense

73%

1.30

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.07evenly matched on net striking+0.95

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jeremiah WellsBlood Diamond

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jeremiah Wells(7 fights)Blood Diamond(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +40.2|Blue -40.2

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jeremiah WellsTargetBlood Diamond

By target zone

82% acc · 93%

Head

0% acc

50% acc · 7%

Body

100% acc · 100%

Leg

By position

0% acc

Distance

0% acc

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

100% acc · 100%

88% acc · 93%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jeremiah Wells rounds

even

Blood Diamond rounds

Round 1Jeremiah Wells edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control4:25

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

15 / 19

Sig Strikes

1 / 3

78%

Sig Str %

33%

23 / 27

Total Strikes

1 / 3

1 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

20%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

4:25

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Blood Diamond	1 / 3	1 / 3	0 / 0	0
1	Jeremiah Wells	15 / 19	23 / 27	1 / 5	1

Jeremiah Wells

StanceSwitch

Height69.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights7

Blood Diamond

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights3