Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Viviane Araujo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1499

Elo1497

Jennifer MaiavsViviane AraujoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · Saturday, October 14, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Viviane Araujo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJennifer Maia: Pressure fightervsViviane Araujo: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Viviane Araujo wins(55.2%)

Actual result: Viviane Araujo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Viviane Araujo at +124 American odds

+$124 profit

$224 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Viviane Araujo has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Viviane Araujo has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jennifer Maia

Red Corner

Viviane Araujo

Blue Corner

-148

(60%)

Vegas Odds

+124

(45%)

1499

Elo

1497

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'4"

162.56 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jennifer MaiaW2 streak

oldest →

vs Jessica Eye · Jul 21

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jan 22

vs Manon Fiorot · Mar 22

vs Maryna Moroz · Nov 22

vs Casey O'Neill · Mar 23

latest

Viviane Araujo

oldest →

vs Alexa Grasso · Oct 22

vs Amanda Ribas · Mar 23

vs Natalia Silva · Feb 24

vs Karine Silva · Nov 24

vs Tracy Cortez · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jennifer MaiaMetricViviane Araujo

4.35

Strikes / min

3.84

4.52

Strikes absorbed / min

4.83

55%

Strike defense

55%

0.42

TDs / 15 min

1.72

58%

Takedown defense

75%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.17evenly matched on net striking-0.99

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jennifer MaiaViviane Araujo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jennifer Maia(10 fights)Viviane Araujo(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +2.3|Blue -2.3

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red -14.0|Blue +14.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jennifer MaiaTargetViviane Araujo

By target zone

33% acc · 71%

Head

42% acc · 63%

50% acc · 5%

Body

80% acc · 17%

100% acc · 24%

Leg

100% acc · 21%

By position

35% acc · 76%

Distance

51% acc · 92%

77% acc · 24%

Clinch

50% acc · 4%

Ground

100% acc · 4%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jennifer Maia rounds

even

Viviane Araujo rounds

Round 1Jennifer Maia edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns0

Control0:00

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:25Control

Round 2Viviane Araujo edged it

Sig. strikes0

Takedowns0

Control0:00

2Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

4:35Control

Round 3Jennifer Maia edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns2

Control1:25

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:03Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

41 / 101

Sig Strikes

24 / 46

28.3%

Sig Str %

67.7%

60 / 126

Total Strikes

64 / 100

2 / 4

TDs

2 / 6

33%

TD %

33.3%

Sub Att

Rev

1:25

Ctrl Time

7:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Viviane Araujo	14 / 30	14 / 30	0 / 2	0
1	Jennifer Maia	24 / 58	28 / 63	0 / 1	0
2	Viviane Araujo	2 / 2	24 / 35	2 / 2	1
2	Jennifer Maia	0 / 5	8 / 18	0 / 0	0
3	Viviane Araujo	8 / 14	26 / 35	0 / 2	0
3	Jennifer Maia	17 / 38	24 / 45	2 / 3	0

Jennifer Maia

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights12

Viviane Araujo

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights13