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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Manon Fiorot won · U-DEC R3

Elo1499

Elo1522

Jennifer MaiavsManon FiorotUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Daukaus · Saturday, March 26, 2022Columbus, Ohio, USA

Official fight result

Manon Fiorot won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJennifer Maia: Pressure fightervsManon Fiorot: Pressure fighter

Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.

Model Prediction: Manon Fiorot wins(70.3%)

Actual result: Manon Fiorot wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Manon Fiorot at -510 American odds

+$20 profit

$120 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Manon Fiorot has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Manon Fiorot has 29pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jennifer Maia

Red Corner

Manon Fiorot

Blue Corner

+375

(21%)

Vegas Odds

-510

(84%)

1499

Elo

1522

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'7"

162.56 cm

Reach

165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jennifer Maia

oldest →

vs Jessica Eye · Jul 21

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jan 22

vs Maryna Moroz · Nov 22

vs Casey O'Neill · Mar 23

vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 23

latest

Manon Fiorot

oldest →

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Oct 22

vs Rose Namajunas · Sep 23

vs Erin Blanchfield · Mar 24

vs Valentina Shevchenko · May 25

KOvs Jasmine Jasudavicius · Oct 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jennifer MaiaMetricManon Fiorot

4.35

Strikes / min

5.66

4.52

Strikes absorbed / min

3.58

55%

Strike defense

66%

0.42

TDs / 15 min

1.05

58%

Takedown defense

87%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.17Δ 2.25 — meaningful gap+2.08

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jennifer MaiaManon Fiorot

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jennifer Maia(10 fights)Manon Fiorot(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -22.8|Blue +22.8

Recent Form

Red -1.2|Blue +1.2

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red -91.0|Blue +91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jennifer MaiaTargetManon Fiorot

By target zone

22% acc · 62%

Head

44% acc · 48%

69% acc · 24%

Body

86% acc · 29%

100% acc · 14%

Leg

100% acc · 23%

By position

27% acc · 81%

Distance

58% acc · 92%

67% acc · 16%

Clinch

100% acc · 2%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

100% acc · 6%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jennifer Maia rounds

even

Manon Fiorot rounds

Round 1Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:09

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Round 2Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control0:28

19Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

2:12Control

Round 3Manon Fiorot edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns0

Control0:39

30Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

37 / 121

Sig Strikes

83 / 138

29.7%

Sig Str %

64.7%

56 / 141

Total Strikes

101 / 157

1 / 4

TDs

2 / 4

25%

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

1:16

Ctrl Time

2:37

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Manon Fiorot	34 / 68	34 / 68	0 / 1
1	Jennifer Maia	16 / 57	16 / 57	0 / 0
2	Manon Fiorot	19 / 24	37 / 43	2 / 3
2	Jennifer Maia	5 / 20	23 / 39	1 / 2
3	Manon Fiorot	30 / 46	30 / 46	0 / 0
3	Jennifer Maia	16 / 44	17 / 45	0 / 2

Jennifer Maia

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights12

Manon Fiorot

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights9