← All fights/Event page

Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Jennifer Maia won · U-DEC R3

Elo1499

Elo1428

Jennifer MaiavsJessica EyeUFC Prediction Result

UFC 264: Poirier vs. McGregor 3 · Saturday, July 10, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jennifer Maia won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJennifer Maia: Pressure fightervsJessica Eye: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Jennifer Maia wins(69.0%)

Actual result: Jennifer Maia wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jennifer Maia at -200 American odds

+$50 profit

$150 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jessica Eye enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jennifer Maia

Red Corner

Jessica Eye

Blue Corner

-200

(67%)

Vegas Odds

+162

(38%)

1499

Elo

1428

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'4"

Height

5'6"

162.56 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jennifer Maia

oldest →

vs Katlyn Chookagian · Jan 22

vs Manon Fiorot · Mar 22

vs Maryna Moroz · Nov 22

vs Casey O'Neill · Mar 23

vs Viviane Araujo · Oct 23

latest

Jessica EyeL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Valentina Shevchenko · Jun 19

vs Viviane Araujo · Dec 19

vs Cynthia Calvillo · Jun 20

vs Joanne Calderwood · Jan 21

vs Maycee Barber · Jul 22

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jennifer MaiaMetricJessica Eye

4.35

Strikes / min

3.86

4.52

Strikes absorbed / min

4.19

55%

Strike defense

55%

0.42

TDs / 15 min

0.58

58%

Takedown defense

57%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.17evenly matched on net striking-0.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jennifer MaiaJessica Eye

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jennifer Maia(10 fights)Jessica Eye(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +70.8|Blue -70.8

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red -2.0|Blue +2.0

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jennifer MaiaTargetJessica Eye

By target zone

31% acc · 72%

Head

25% acc · 56%

80% acc · 16%

Body

83% acc · 24%

85% acc · 11%

Leg

87% acc · 20%

By position

35% acc · 90%

Distance

36% acc · 98%

67% acc · 10%

Clinch

0% acc

Ground

100% acc · 2%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jennifer Maia rounds

even

Jessica Eye rounds

Round 1Jessica Eye edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:00

34Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:19Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:04

32Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:25Control

Round 3Jessica Eye edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control0:00

34Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

98 / 265

Sig Strikes

100 / 276

37%

Sig Str %

36%

102 / 269

Total Strikes

104 / 281

0 / 0

TDs

2 / 3

—

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

0:04

Ctrl Time

0:56

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Jessica Eye	34 / 103	34 / 103	1 / 2
1	Jennifer Maia	34 / 97	35 / 98	0 / 0
2	Jessica Eye	32 / 89	36 / 93	1 / 1
2	Jennifer Maia	34 / 85	36 / 87	0 / 0
3	Jessica Eye	34 / 84	34 / 85	0 / 0
3	Jennifer Maia	30 / 83	31 / 84	0 / 0

Jennifer Maia

StanceOrthodox

Height64.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights12

Jessica Eye

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights15