Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Flyweight
3 Rounds
Ulka Sasaki won · Submission R2
Elo1366
Elo1491

Jenel LausavsUlka SasakiUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cowboy vs. Edwards · Saturday, June 23, 2018Kallang, Singapore

Official fight result

Ulka Sasaki won

Submission · Round 2 · 4:04

Model Prediction: Jenel Lausa wins(50.7%)

Actual result: Ulka Sasaki wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jenel Lausa at +200 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Ulka Sasaki threatens submissions; Jenel Lausa has lost 33% of fights by sub.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Ulka Sasaki (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jenel Lausa
Red Corner
VS
Ulka Sasaki
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-240
(71%)
1366
Elo
1491
37
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'5"
Height
5'10"
172.72 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jenel LausaL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Yao Zhikui · Nov 16
L
vs Magomed Bibulatov · Apr 17
L
vs Eric Shelton · Nov 17
latest
Ulka SasakiL2 streak
oldest →
W
SUBvs Willie Gates · May 16
L
DECvs Wilson Reis · Feb 17
W
SUBvs Justin Scoggins · Jun 17
L
SUBvs Jussier Formiga · Sep 17
L
SUBvs Alexandre Pantoja · Nov 18
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jenel LausaMetricUlka Sasaki
1.44
Strikes / min
—
3.53
Strikes absorbed / min
—
53%
Strike defense
—
0.55
TDs / 15 min
—
51%
Takedown defense
—
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1481 vs 1489Strikes23.7 vs 15.3Takedowns0.7 vs 1.1Sub Atts1.00 vs 0.57Form-0.6 vs -0.2
Jenel LausaUlka Sasaki

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
Jenel Lausa(4 fights)Ulka Sasaki(9 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -125.3|Blue +125.3
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -57.0|Blue +57.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Jenel Lausa

StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights4

Ulka Sasaki

StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights1