Flyweight

3 Rounds

Eric Shelton won · U-DEC R3

Elo1366

Elo1491

Jenel LausavsEric SheltonUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs. Tybura · Saturday, November 18, 2017Sydney, New South Wales, Australia

Official fight result

Eric Shelton won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jenel Lausa wins(58.8%)

Actual result: Eric Shelton wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jenel Lausa at +270 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Eric Shelton has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.

Tale of the Tape

Jenel Lausa

Red Corner

Eric Shelton

Blue Corner

+270

(27%)

Vegas Odds

-330

(77%)

1366

Elo

1491

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'5"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jenel LausaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Yao Zhikui · Nov 16

vs Magomed Bibulatov · Apr 17

SUBvs Ulka Sasaki · Jun 18

latest

Eric Shelton

oldest →

vs Alexandre Pantoja · Jan 17

vs Jarred Brooks · Jul 17

vs Alex Perez · Feb 18

vs Joseph Morales · Nov 18

vs Jordan Espinosa · Mar 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jenel LausaMetricEric Shelton

1.44

Strikes / min

2.57

3.53

Strikes absorbed / min

1.88

53%

Strike defense

63%

0.55

TDs / 15 min

2.83

51%

Takedown defense

46%

0.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-2.09Δ 2.78 — meaningful gap+0.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jenel LausaEric Shelton

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jenel Lausa(4 fights)Eric Shelton(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -125.5|Blue +125.5

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +112.0|Blue -112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jenel LausaTargetEric Shelton

By target zone

14% acc · 80%

Head

71% acc · 83%

Body

100% acc · 13%

50% acc · 20%

Leg

80% acc · 5%

By position

9% acc · 40%

Distance

50% acc · 19%

0% acc

Clinch

50% acc · 60%

Ground

83% acc · 81%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jenel Lausa rounds

even

Eric Shelton rounds

Round 1Eric Shelton edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control1:10

15Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

1:29Control

Round 2Eric Shelton edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns0

Control0:01

35Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

3:52Control

Round 3Eric Shelton edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:00

36Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:33Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

5 / 30

Sig Strikes

86 / 116

17.3%

Sig Str %

73%

20 / 46

Total Strikes

184 / 225

1 / 2

TDs

5 / 7

50%

TD %

72%

Sub Att

Rev

1:11

Ctrl Time

8:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Eric Shelton	15 / 22	34 / 43	2 / 3	0
1	Jenel Lausa	2 / 11	4 / 13	1 / 1	0
2	Eric Shelton	35 / 46	64 / 80	2 / 2	0
2	Jenel Lausa	1 / 5	9 / 13	0 / 1	2
3	Eric Shelton	36 / 48	86 / 102	1 / 2	0
3	Jenel Lausa	2 / 14	7 / 20	0 / 0	0

Jenel Lausa

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4

Eric Shelton

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights6