Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Daniel Lacerda enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jeff Molina has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jeff Molina has 66pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Daniel Lacerda (52.9%).
Recent Form
Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Jeff MolinaW2 streak
oldest →W
vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov · Jun 22 Daniel LacerdaL4 streak
oldest →L
SUBvs Francisco Figueiredo · Apr 22L
KOvs Victor Altamirano · Aug 22L
KOvs CJ Vergara · Mar 23L
SUBvs Edgar Chairez · Feb 24 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Jeff MolinaMetricDaniel Lacerda
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)+2.21Δ 6.54 — meaningful gap-4.33
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Jeff MolinaDaniel Lacerda
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Jeff Molina(3 fights)Daniel Lacerda(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red +14.4|Blue -14.4
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red -49.3|Blue +49.3
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red -50.0|Blue +50.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Jeff MolinaTargetDaniel Lacerda
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Jeff Molina edged it
Sig. strikes30
Takedowns0
Control3:00
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:55Control
Round 2Jeff Molina edged it
Sig. strikes17
Takedowns0
Control0:26
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
