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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Jeff Hougland won · U-DEC R3

Elo1352

Elo1351

Jeff HouglandvsDonny WalkerUFC Prediction Result

UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber · Saturday, July 2, 2011Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jeff Hougland won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Donny Walker wins(52.4%)

Actual result: Jeff Hougland wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Donny Walker at -170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Donny Walker has 57pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jeff Hougland

Red Corner

Donny Walker

Blue Corner

+160

(38%)

Vegas Odds

-170

(63%)

1352

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'9"

172.72 cm

Reach

180 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jeff HouglandL2 streak

oldest →

vs Yves Jabouin · May 12

vs Takeya Mizugaki · Nov 12

latest

Donny Walker

oldest →

SUBvs Ken Stone · Sep 11

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jeff HouglandMetricDonny Walker

1.86

Strikes / min

1.81

3.46

Strikes absorbed / min

3.85

47%

Strike defense

46%

0.86

TDs / 15 min

0.00

Takedown defense

57%

1.10

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.60evenly matched on net striking-2.04

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jeff Hougland(3 fights)Donny Walker(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jeff HouglandTargetDonny Walker

By target zone

44% acc · 59%

Head

25% acc · 45%

69% acc · 15%

Body

33% acc · 13%

76% acc · 26%

Leg

87% acc · 42%

By position

50% acc · 80%

Distance

34% acc · 84%

100% acc · 7%

Clinch

67% acc · 6%

57% acc · 13%

Ground

75% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jeff Hougland rounds

even

Donny Walker rounds

Round 1Jeff Hougland edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control2:15

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:15Control

Round 2Jeff Hougland edged it

Sig. strikes41

Takedowns0

Control0:00

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:09Control

Round 3Donny Walker edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control1:28

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:54Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

61 / 116

Sig Strikes

31 / 83

53%

Sig Str %

39.3%

104 / 165

Total Strikes

82 / 137

1 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

33.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:43

Ctrl Time

6:18

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Donny Walker	2 / 9	17 / 25	0 / 0	2
1	Jeff Hougland	12 / 18	21 / 27	1 / 1	1
2	Donny Walker	17 / 56	18 / 57	0 / 0	0
2	Jeff Hougland	41 / 79	41 / 79	0 / 1	2
3	Donny Walker	12 / 18	47 / 55	0 / 0	0
3	Jeff Hougland	8 / 19	42 / 59	0 / 3	1

Jeff Hougland

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights3

Donny Walker

Stance—

Height69.0"

Reach—

Fights2