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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Johnny Eduardo won · U-DEC R3

Elo1351

Elo1409

Jeff CurranvsJohnny EduardoUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie vs Poirier · Tuesday, May 15, 2012Fairfax, Virginia, USA

Official fight result

Johnny Eduardo won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Johnny Eduardo wins(66.9%)

Actual result: Johnny Eduardo wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Johnny Eduardo at -120 American odds

+$83 profit

$183 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Johnny Eduardo enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Johnny Eduardo has 23pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jeff Curran

Red Corner

Johnny Eduardo

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-120

(55%)

1351

Elo

1409

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'6"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jeff Curran

oldest →

vs Scott Jorgensen · Oct 11

latest

Johnny EduardoL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Aljamain Sterling · Dec 15

KOvs Manvel Gamburyan · Nov 16

KOvs Matthew Lopez · Jun 17

SUBvs Nathaniel Wood · Jun 18

SUBvs Alejandro Perez · Oct 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jeff CurranMetricJohnny Eduardo

1.54

Strikes / min

2.95

2.48

Strikes absorbed / min

3.22

60%

Strike defense

63%

0.35

TDs / 15 min

0.22

35%

Takedown defense

58%

1.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.94evenly matched on net striking-0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jeff CurranJohnny Eduardo

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jeff Curran(2 fights)Johnny Eduardo(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -57.4|Blue +57.4

Recent Form

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -63.0|Blue +63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jeff CurranTargetJohnny Eduardo

By target zone

16% acc · 68%

Head

20% acc · 49%

42% acc · 16%

Body

100% acc · 8%

71% acc · 16%

Leg

79% acc · 43%

By position

20% acc · 97%

Distance

32% acc · 96%

100% acc · 3%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jeff Curran rounds

even

Johnny Eduardo rounds

Round 1Johnny Eduardo edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns0

Control0:00

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Johnny Eduardo edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes20

Takedowns0

Control0:00

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

31 / 152

Sig Strikes

51 / 154

17.7%

Sig Str %

32.7%

31 / 152

Total Strikes

51 / 154

0 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Johnny Eduardo	13 / 40	13 / 40	0 / 0
1	Jeff Curran	5 / 39	5 / 39	0 / 0
2	Johnny Eduardo	18 / 56	18 / 56	0 / 0
2	Jeff Curran	6 / 44	6 / 44	0 / 1
3	Johnny Eduardo	20 / 58	20 / 58	0 / 0
3	Jeff Curran	20 / 69	20 / 69	0 / 1

Jeff Curran

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights2

Johnny Eduardo

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights8