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Welterweight

3 Rounds

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani won · Decision R3

Elo1544

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani editorial illustration

Elo1505

Jean-Paul LebosnoyanivsSeokhyeon KoUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Du Plessis vs. Usman · Saturday, July 18, 2026Oklahoma City, USA

Official fight result

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani won

Decision · Round 3 · 5:00

Engine 7.0 was wrong

Pre-fight pick: Seokhyeon Ko

If $100 had been placed on our pre-fight pick

Seokhyeon Ko at -186 American odds · hypothetical only

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Style matchupJean-Paul Lebosnoyani: WrestlervsSeokhyeon Ko: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Seokhyeon Ko has 75pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

Red Corner

Seokhyeon Ko

Blue Corner

+153

(40%)

Vegas Odds

-184

(65%)

1544

Elo

1505

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

5'10"

182.88 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 2 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

oldest →

vs Phil Rowe · Feb 26

latest

Seokhyeon KoW2 streak

oldest →

vs Oban Elliott · Jun 25

vs Phil Rowe · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniMetricSeokhyeon Ko

4.77

Strikes / min

2.73

3.72

Strikes absorbed / min

1.42

53%

Strike defense

58%

2.79

TDs / 15 min

4.00

Takedown defense

75%

1.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.05evenly matched on net striking+1.31

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani(2 fights)Seokhyeon Ko(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +38.9|Blue -38.9

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -112.0|Blue +112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jean-Paul LebosnoyaniTargetSeokhyeon Ko

By target zone

28% acc · 67%

Head

36% acc · 83%

53% acc · 19%

Body

64% acc · 11%

88% acc · 13%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

31% acc · 79%

Distance

37% acc · 92%

55% acc · 21%

Clinch

100% acc · 3%

Ground

100% acc · 5%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani rounds

even

Seokhyeon Ko rounds

Round 1Seokhyeon Ko edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control0:30

25Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns1

Control1:12

17Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:33Control

Round 3Even round

Sig. strikes22

Takedowns1

Control0:27

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

52 / 152

Sig Strikes

66 / 168

35%

Sig Str %

38.3%

67 / 168

Total Strikes

80 / 186

3 / 4

TDs

0 / 4

83.3%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:09

Ctrl Time

1:47

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Seokhyeon Ko	25 / 61	27 / 63	0 / 2	0
1	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	15 / 51	18 / 54	1 / 1	1
2	Seokhyeon Ko	17 / 49	28 / 63	0 / 1	0
2	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	15 / 34	27 / 47	1 / 1	1
3	Seokhyeon Ko	24 / 58	25 / 60	0 / 1	0
3	Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani	22 / 67	22 / 67	1 / 2	0

The Pick

Vegas favorite

Seokhyeon Ko

Odds

-186

Market-implied probability

Seokhyeon Ko 62%

Model pick shown for research — not a betting edge.

$100 bet returns

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani$255

Seokhyeon Ko (model pick · research)$154

62% market-implied · model 59% (research) · vufc_v7_0_20260718_090638

🔒 Pick locked Jul 18, 2026, 9:29 AM UTC at -186 · never rewritten

Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights2

Seokhyeon Ko

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights3