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Bantamweight

3 Rounds

Javid Basharat won · U-DEC R3

Elo1503

Elo1483

Javid BasharatvsGianni VazquezUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · Saturday, February 7, 2026Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Javid Basharat won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Javid Basharat wins(71.5%)

Actual result: Javid Basharat wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Javid Basharat at -300 American odds

+$33 profit

$133 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Javid Basharat has 24pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Javid Basharat has 21pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Javid Basharat

Red Corner

Gianni Vazquez

Blue Corner

-300

(75%)

Vegas Odds

+460

(18%)

1503

Elo

1483

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'7"

175.26 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Javid BasharatL2 streak

oldest →

vs Trevin Jones · Mar 22

vs Tony Gravely · Sep 22

vs Mateus Mendonca · Jan 23

vs Aiemann Zahabi · Mar 24

KOvs Ricky Simon · Feb 25

latest

Gianni VazquezNo prior UFC fights on record.

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Javid BasharatMetricGianni Vazquez

5.18

Strikes / min

1.60

2.75

Strikes absorbed / min

3.93

63%

Strike defense

39%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

0.00

83%

Takedown defense

62%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

2.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+2.43Δ 4.76 — meaningful gap-2.33

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Javid BasharatGianni Vazquez

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Javid Basharat(6 fights)Gianni Vazquez(1 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +20.2|Blue -20.2

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -49.5|Blue +49.5

Grappler Score

Red -49.7|Blue +49.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Javid BasharatTargetGianni Vazquez

By target zone

52% acc · 56%

Head

15% acc · 54%

76% acc · 22%

Body

44% acc · 17%

81% acc · 22%

Leg

58% acc · 29%

By position

56% acc · 75%

Distance

23% acc · 96%

50% acc · 2%

Clinch

50% acc · 4%

82% acc · 24%

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Javid Basharat rounds

even

Gianni Vazquez rounds

Round 1Javid Basharat edged it

Sig. strikes31

Takedowns0

Control0:58

Knockdowns1

7Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Javid Basharat edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control1:50

14Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:11Control

Round 3Javid Basharat edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns2

Control2:50

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

59 / 97

Sig Strikes

24 / 108

60.3%

Sig Str %

20.7%

85 / 132

Total Strikes

41 / 132

3 / 8

TDs

0 / 0

30.3%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:38

Ctrl Time

0:25

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Gianni Vazquez	7 / 32	8 / 33	0 / 0	0
1	Javid Basharat	31 / 50	35 / 54	0 / 1	0
2	Gianni Vazquez	14 / 43	24 / 58	0 / 0	2
2	Javid Basharat	16 / 27	26 / 41	1 / 4	0
3	Gianni Vazquez	3 / 33	9 / 41	0 / 0	0
3	Javid Basharat	12 / 20	24 / 37	2 / 3	0

Javid Basharat

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach69.0"

Fights6

Gianni Vazquez

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights1