Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jason Young won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1351

Jason YoungvsEric WiselyUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs Silva · Saturday, April 14, 2012Stockholm, Sweden

Official fight result

Jason Young won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jason Young wins(55.2%)

Actual result: Jason Young wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jason Young at -170 American odds

+$59 profit

$159 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jason Young enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jason Young has 28pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Eric Wisely (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jason Young

Red Corner

Eric Wisely

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1490

Elo

1351

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'9"

Height

5'8"

185.42 cm

Reach

178 cm

Recent Form

Last 3 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jason YoungL3 streak

oldest →

vs Dustin Poirier · Jun 11

vs Michihiro Omigawa · Nov 11

KOvs Robert Peralta · Sep 12

latest

Eric Wisely

oldest →

SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Jan 12

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jason YoungMetricEric Wisely

2.97

Strikes / min

1.42

3.20

Strikes absorbed / min

2.08

50%

Strike defense

56%

1.98

TDs / 15 min

0.00

55%

Takedown defense

27%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.23evenly matched on net striking-0.66

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jason YoungEric Wisely

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jason Young(4 fights)Eric Wisely(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +138.8|Blue -138.8

Recent Form

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red +1.9|Blue -1.9

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +84.0|Blue -84.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jason YoungTargetEric Wisely

By target zone

34% acc · 43%

Head

32% acc · 42%

100% acc · 14%

Body

100% acc · 31%

79% acc · 43%

Leg

91% acc · 28%

By position

33% acc · 41%

Distance

50% acc · 92%

100% acc · 18%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

75% acc · 41%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jason Young rounds

even

Eric Wisely rounds

Round 1Jason Young edged it

Sig. strikes24

Takedowns2

Control2:13

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jason Young edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control4:00

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Eric Wisely edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns1

Control2:18

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:09Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 86

Sig Strikes

36 / 69

50%

Sig Str %

51.7%

133 / 179

Total Strikes

118 / 157

4 / 6

TDs

0 / 1

72%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

8:31

Ctrl Time

0:09

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Eric Wisely	8 / 23	25 / 40	0 / 0
1	Jason Young	24 / 40	43 / 59	2 / 3
2	Eric Wisely	8 / 13	51 / 58	0 / 0
2	Jason Young	14 / 21	56 / 65	1 / 2
3	Eric Wisely	20 / 33	42 / 59	0 / 1
3	Jason Young	6 / 25	34 / 55	1 / 1

Jason Young

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4

Eric Wisely

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach—

Fights2