← All fights/Event page

Featherweight

3 Rounds

Makwan Amirkhani won · S-DEC R3

Elo1369

Elo1453

Jason KnightvsMakwan AmirkhaniUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · Sunday, May 27, 2018Liverpool, England, United Kingdom

Official fight result

Makwan Amirkhani won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJason Knight: Submission grapplervsMakwan Amirkhani: Wrestler

Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.

Model Prediction: Jason Knight wins(53.2%)

Actual result: Makwan Amirkhani wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jason Knight at -170 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jason Knight enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Stance matchup historically favors Makwan Amirkhani (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jason Knight

Red Corner

Makwan Amirkhani

Blue Corner

-170

(63%)

Vegas Odds

+150

(40%)

1369

Elo

1453

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'10"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jason KnightL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Alex Caceres · Jan 17

KOvs Chas Skelly · May 17

KOvs Ricardo Lamas · Jul 17

vs Gabriel Benitez · Dec 17

vs Jordan Rinaldi · Nov 18

latest

Makwan AmirkhaniL2 streak

oldest →

vs Kamuela Kirk · Jun 21

KOvs Lerone Murphy · Oct 21

SUBvs Mike Grundy · Mar 22

KOvs Jonathan Pearce · Jul 22

SUBvs Jack Shore · Mar 23

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jason KnightMetricMakwan Amirkhani

2.95

Strikes / min

1.33

3.02

Strikes absorbed / min

2.98

51%

Strike defense

46%

1.31

TDs / 15 min

3.96

47%

Takedown defense

35%

1.70

Sub atts / 15 min

1.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.07Δ 1.58 — meaningful gap-1.65

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jason KnightMakwan Amirkhani

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jason Knight(9 fights)Makwan Amirkhani(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -84.9|Blue +84.9

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +2.0|Blue -2.0

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red -266.0|Blue +266.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jason KnightTargetMakwan Amirkhani

By target zone

19% acc · 34%

Head

42% acc · 93%

33% acc · 21%

Body

100% acc · 4%

72% acc · 45%

Leg

100% acc · 4%

By position

34% acc · 100%

Distance

38% acc · 67%

0% acc

Clinch

Ground

64% acc · 33%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jason Knight rounds

even

Makwan Amirkhani rounds

Round 1Jason Knight edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control1:10

Knockdowns2

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

0Knockdowns

Round 2Makwan Amirkhani edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns0

Control1:42

13Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jason Knight edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control4:04

5Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 88

Sig Strikes

27 / 62

29.3%

Sig Str %

45%

64 / 124

Total Strikes

32 / 68

0 / 1

TDs

3 / 5

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

6:56

Ctrl Time

0:14

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Makwan Amirkhani	9 / 27	9 / 27	0 / 1	0
1	Jason Knight	15 / 42	18 / 45	0 / 1	1
2	Makwan Amirkhani	13 / 25	14 / 26	2 / 2	0
2	Jason Knight	12 / 36	17 / 42	0 / 0	0
3	Makwan Amirkhani	5 / 10	9 / 15	1 / 2	0
3	Jason Knight	2 / 10	29 / 37	0 / 0	0

Jason Knight

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights9

Makwan Amirkhani

StanceSouthpaw

Height70.0"

Reach72.0"

Fights14