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Women's Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Jasmine Jasudavicius won · SUB R3
Elo1542
Jasmine Jasudavicius editorial illustration
Elo1459
Priscila Cachoeira

Jasmine JasudaviciusvsPriscila CachoeiraUFC Prediction Result

UFC 297: Strickland vs. Du Plessis · Saturday, January 20, 2024Toronto, Ontario, Canada

Official fight result

Jasmine Jasudavicius won

SUB · Round 3 · 4:21

Style matchupJasmine Jasudavicius: WrestlervsPriscila Cachoeira: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jasmine Jasudavicius wins(73.4%)

Actual result: Jasmine Jasudavicius wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jasmine Jasudavicius at -425 American odds

+$24 profit

$124 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Priscila Cachoeira enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jasmine Jasudavicius
Red Corner
VS
Priscila Cachoeira
Blue Corner
-425
(81%)
Vegas Odds
+330
(23%)
1542
Elo
1459
37
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'7"
172.72 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jasmine Jasudavicius
oldest →
W
SUBvs Ariane da Silva · Nov 24
W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Feb 25
W
SUBvs Jessica Andrade · May 25
L
KOvs Manon Fiorot · Oct 25
W
DECvs Karine Silva · Apr 26
latest
Priscila CachoeiraL3 streak
oldest →
L
SUBvs Miranda Maverick · Jul 23
W
KOvs Josiane Nunes · Mar 25
L
KOvs Joselyne Edwards · Aug 25
L
vs Klaudia Sygula · Feb 26
L
SUBvs Chelsea Chandler · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jasmine JasudaviciusMetricPriscila Cachoeira
3.47
Strikes / min
4.43
3.46
Strikes absorbed / min
7.60
51%
Strike defense
45%
2.63
TDs / 15 min
0.25
75%
Takedown defense
69%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.01Δ 3.18 — meaningful gap-3.17

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1490Strikes3.8 vs 3.8Takedowns2.4 vs 0.1Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form0.1 vs -0.2
Jasmine JasudaviciusPriscila Cachoeira

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14401470150015301560← oldermost recent →
Jasmine Jasudavicius(10 fights)Priscila Cachoeira(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +83.2|Blue -83.2
Recent Form
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.3|Blue -0.3
Layoff
Red -49.0|Blue +49.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jasmine JasudaviciusTargetPriscila Cachoeira

By target zone

84
77% acc · 90%
Head
19
43% acc · 79%
6
75% acc · 6%
Body
3
75% acc · 13%
3
100% acc · 3%
Leg
2
100% acc · 8%

By position

23
68% acc · 25%
Distance
20
44% acc · 83%
2
67% acc · 2%
Clinch
0
68
82% acc · 73%
Ground
4
80% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
Jasmine Jasudavicius rounds
0
even
0
Priscila Cachoeira rounds
Round 1Jasmine Jasudavicius edged it
Sig. strikes32
Takedowns1
Control4:36
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jasmine Jasudavicius edged it
Sig. strikes34
Takedowns0
Control4:38
Knockdowns1
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Round 3Jasmine Jasudavicius edged it
Sig. strikes27
Takedowns1
Control2:11
18Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:05Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
93 / 120
Sig Strikes
24 / 50
77%
Sig Str %
42.7%
326 / 398
Total Strikes
26 / 52
2 / 5
TDs
0 / 0
62.5%
TD %
3
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
11:25
Ctrl Time
0:05

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Priscila Cachoeira4 / 115 / 120 / 00
1Jasmine Jasudavicius32 / 43138 / 1731 / 10
2Priscila Cachoeira2 / 52 / 50 / 00
2Jasmine Jasudavicius34 / 40110 / 1290 / 02
3Priscila Cachoeira18 / 3419 / 350 / 00
3Jasmine Jasudavicius27 / 3778 / 961 / 41

Jasmine Jasudavicius

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights11

Priscila Cachoeira

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights14