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Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Natalia Silva won · U-DEC R3
Elo1542
Jasmine Jasudavicius editorial illustration
Elo1550

Jasmine JasudaviciusvsNatalia SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · Saturday, June 18, 2022Austin, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Natalia Silva won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJasmine Jasudavicius: WrestlervsNatalia Silva: Elusive striker

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Jasmine Jasudavicius wins(53.0%)

Actual result: Natalia Silva wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jasmine Jasudavicius at -260 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Natalia Silva enters on a 5-fight win streak.
  • Natalia Silva has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Natalia Silva has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors Natalia Silva (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jasmine Jasudavicius
Red Corner
VS
Natalia Silva
Blue Corner
-260
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
1542
Elo
1550
37
Age
29
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'4"
172.72 cm
Reach
165.1 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jasmine Jasudavicius
oldest →
W
SUBvs Ariane da Silva · Nov 24
W
vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Feb 25
W
SUBvs Jessica Andrade · May 25
L
KOvs Manon Fiorot · Oct 25
W
DECvs Karine Silva · Apr 26
latest
Natalia SilvaW5 streak
oldest →
W
vs Andrea Lee · Aug 23
W
vs Viviane Araujo · Feb 24
W
vs Jessica Andrade · Sep 24
W
vs Alexa Grasso · May 25
W
vs Rose Namajunas · Jan 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jasmine JasudaviciusMetricNatalia Silva
3.47
Strikes / min
4.81
3.46
Strikes absorbed / min
2.36
51%
Strike defense
66%
2.63
TDs / 15 min
0.43
75%
Takedown defense
90%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.01Δ 2.44 — meaningful gap+2.45

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1516 vs 1500Strikes3.8 vs 4.5Takedowns2.4 vs 0.5Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.00Form1.0 vs 0.0
Jasmine JasudaviciusNatalia Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901508152515431560← oldermost recent →
Jasmine Jasudavicius(10 fights)Natalia Silva(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -7.6|Blue +7.6
Recent Form
Red +1.0|Blue -1.0
Striker Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Grappler Score
Red -49.6|Blue +49.6
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jasmine JasudaviciusTargetNatalia Silva

By target zone

12
17% acc · 39%
Head
55
40% acc · 57%
18
67% acc · 58%
Body
18
75% acc · 19%
1
50% acc · 3%
Leg
23
96% acc · 24%

By position

27
28% acc · 87%
Distance
85
50% acc · 89%
4
67% acc · 13%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 1%
0
Ground
10
67% acc · 10%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Jasmine Jasudavicius rounds
0
even
3
Natalia Silva rounds
Round 1Natalia Silva edged it
Sig. strikes12
Takedowns0
Control1:51
27Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:09Control
Round 2Natalia Silva edged it
Sig. strikes10
Takedowns0
Control0:48
41Sig. strikes
2Takedowns
0:45Control
Round 3Natalia Silva edged it
Sig. strikes9
Takedowns0
Control0:58
28Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:13Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
31 / 101
Sig Strikes
96 / 185
30.3%
Sig Str %
51%
40 / 116
Total Strikes
120 / 213
0 / 6
TDs
2 / 3
0%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
3:37
Ctrl Time
1:07

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Natalia Silva27 / 5344 / 710 / 10
1Jasmine Jasudavicius12 / 3316 / 420 / 20
2Natalia Silva41 / 7848 / 882 / 20
2Jasmine Jasudavicius10 / 3414 / 380 / 30
3Natalia Silva28 / 5428 / 540 / 00
3Jasmine Jasudavicius9 / 3410 / 360 / 10

Jasmine Jasudavicius

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights11

Natalia Silva

StanceSouthpaw
Height64.0"
Reach65.0"
Fights8