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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Jasmine Jasudavicius won · U-DEC R3

Elo1542

Jasmine Jasudavicius editorial illustration

Elo1453

Jasmine JasudaviciusvsMayra Bueno SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Imavov · Saturday, February 1, 2025Riyadh, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia

Official fight result

Jasmine Jasudavicius won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJasmine Jasudavicius: WrestlervsMayra Bueno Silva: Well-rounded

Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.

Model Prediction: Jasmine Jasudavicius wins(65.3%)

Actual result: Jasmine Jasudavicius wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jasmine Jasudavicius at -250 American odds

+$40 profit

$140 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Mayra Bueno Silva enters on a 4-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Red Corner

Mayra Bueno Silva

Blue Corner

-250

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+205

(33%)

1542

Elo

1453

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jasmine Jasudavicius

oldest →

vs Fatima Kline · Jul 24

SUBvs Ariane da Silva · Nov 24

SUBvs Jessica Andrade · May 25

KOvs Manon Fiorot · Oct 25

DECvs Karine Silva · Apr 26

latest

Mayra Bueno SilvaL4 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Lina Lansberg · Feb 23

vs Raquel Pennington · Jan 24

KOvs Macy Chiasson · Jun 24

vs Jacqueline Cavalcanti · Nov 25

DECvs Michelle Montague · Apr 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jasmine JasudaviciusMetricMayra Bueno Silva

3.47

Strikes / min

3.52

3.46

Strikes absorbed / min

4.71

51%

Strike defense

51%

2.63

TDs / 15 min

0.46

75%

Takedown defense

64%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.01Δ 1.20 — meaningful gap-1.19

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jasmine JasudaviciusMayra Bueno Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jasmine Jasudavicius(10 fights)Mayra Bueno Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +89.3|Blue -89.3

Recent Form

Red +1.3|Blue -1.3

Striker Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -126.0|Blue +126.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jasmine JasudaviciusTargetMayra Bueno Silva

By target zone

35% acc · 41%

Head

43% acc · 62%

77% acc · 36%

Body

67% acc · 22%

100% acc · 23%

Leg

86% acc · 16%

By position

51% acc · 86%

Distance

47% acc · 81%

80% acc · 14%

Clinch

88% acc · 19%

0% acc

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jasmine Jasudavicius rounds

even

Mayra Bueno Silva rounds

Round 1Jasmine Jasudavicius edged it

Sig. strikes14

Takedowns1

Control2:48

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jasmine Jasudavicius edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns1

Control1:20

21Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jasmine Jasudavicius edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control3:03

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

56 / 105

Sig Strikes

37 / 72

52.3%

Sig Str %

49%

164 / 229

Total Strikes

41 / 76

3 / 5

TDs

0 / 0

66.7%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

7:11

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Mayra Bueno Silva	10 / 18	10 / 18	0 / 0	1
1	Jasmine Jasudavicius	14 / 25	35 / 51	1 / 2	0
2	Mayra Bueno Silva	21 / 38	24 / 41	0 / 0	0
2	Jasmine Jasudavicius	30 / 54	62 / 88	1 / 2	0
3	Mayra Bueno Silva	6 / 16	7 / 17	0 / 0	0
3	Jasmine Jasudavicius	12 / 26	67 / 90	1 / 1	0

Jasmine Jasudavicius

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights11

Mayra Bueno Silva

StanceOrthodox

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights12