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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Jasmine Jasudavicius won · U-DEC R3

Elo1542

Jasmine Jasudavicius editorial illustration

Elo1509

Jasmine JasudaviciusvsGabriella FernandesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · Saturday, February 25, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jasmine Jasudavicius won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJasmine Jasudavicius: WrestlervsGabriella Fernandes: Striker

Classic wrestler-vs-striker. The wrestler historically gets the edge if they can close distance and finish takedowns.

Model Prediction: Jasmine Jasudavicius wins(63.5%)

Actual result: Jasmine Jasudavicius wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jasmine Jasudavicius at +105 American odds

+$105 profit

$205 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Striker vs grappler stylistic clash — fight location (standing vs ground) typically decides it.
Stance matchup historically favors Gabriella Fernandes (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jasmine Jasudavicius

Red Corner

Gabriella Fernandes

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1542

Elo

1509

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'6"

172.72 cm

Reach

167.64 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jasmine Jasudavicius

oldest →

SUBvs Ariane da Silva · Nov 24

vs Mayra Bueno Silva · Feb 25

SUBvs Jessica Andrade · May 25

KOvs Manon Fiorot · Oct 25

DECvs Karine Silva · Apr 26

latest

Gabriella Fernandes

oldest →

vs Tereza Bleda · Jun 23

vs Carli Judice · Jun 24

SUBvs Wang Cong · Nov 24

vs Julija Stoliarenko · Aug 25

KOvs Casey O'Neill · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jasmine JasudaviciusMetricGabriella Fernandes

3.47

Strikes / min

3.51

3.46

Strikes absorbed / min

5.31

51%

Strike defense

53%

2.63

TDs / 15 min

0.42

75%

Takedown defense

68%

0.50

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.01Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap-1.80

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jasmine JasudaviciusGabriella Fernandes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jasmine Jasudavicius(10 fights)Gabriella Fernandes(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +32.9|Blue -32.9

Recent Form

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jasmine JasudaviciusTargetGabriella Fernandes

By target zone

37% acc · 71%

Head

27% acc · 38%

75% acc · 13%

Body

80% acc · 31%

100% acc · 17%

Leg

89% acc · 31%

By position

40% acc · 67%

Distance

45% acc · 96%

100% acc · 4%

Clinch

100% acc · 4%

54% acc · 29%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jasmine Jasudavicius rounds

even

Gabriella Fernandes rounds

Round 1Jasmine Jasudavicius edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control2:58

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jasmine Jasudavicius edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns2

Control4:22

9Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

Round 3Jasmine Jasudavicius edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns1

Control4:11

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

24 / 54

Sig Strikes

26 / 56

45.3%

Sig Str %

48%

149 / 215

Total Strikes

54 / 86

4 / 8

TDs

0 / 1

49.7%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

11:31

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Gabriella Fernandes	12 / 27	19 / 35	0 / 1
1	Jasmine Jasudavicius	8 / 22	44 / 68	1 / 3
2	Gabriella Fernandes	9 / 13	19 / 23	0 / 0
2	Jasmine Jasudavicius	6 / 12	58 / 80	2 / 3
3	Gabriella Fernandes	5 / 16	16 / 28	0 / 0
3	Jasmine Jasudavicius	10 / 20	47 / 67	1 / 2

Jasmine Jasudavicius

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights11

Gabriella Fernandes

StanceSouthpaw

Height66.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights6