← All fights/Event page

Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jared Rosholt won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1402

Jared RosholtvsWalt HarrisUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Rousey vs. Team Tate Finale · Saturday, November 30, 2013Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jared Rosholt won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Walt Harris wins(52.5%)

Actual result: Jared Rosholt wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Walt Harris at +225 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Walt Harris enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Walt Harris is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Jared Rosholt has lost 50% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Walt Harris (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

Jared Rosholt

Red Corner

Walt Harris

Blue Corner

-245

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+225

(31%)

1490

Elo

1402

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'5"

190.5 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jared Rosholt

oldest →

KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Nov 14

KOvs Josh Copeland · Mar 15

DECvs Tim Johnson · Aug 15

vs Stefan Struve · Nov 15

vs Roy Nelson · Feb 16

latest

Walt HarrisL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Serghei Spivac · May 19

KOvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 19

KOvs Alistair Overeem · May 20

KOvs Alexander Volkov · Oct 20

KOvs Marcin Tybura · Jun 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jared RosholtMetricWalt Harris

2.08

Strikes / min

3.05

1.52

Strikes absorbed / min

3.33

59%

Strike defense

54%

1.83

TDs / 15 min

0.29

66%

Takedown defense

70%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.10

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.56evenly matched on net striking-0.28

Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jared Rosholt(8 fights)Walt Harris(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +88.8|Blue -88.8

Recent Form

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Striker Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red 0.0|Blue 0.0

EVEN

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jared RosholtTargetWalt Harris

By target zone

26% acc · 70%

Head

15% acc · 44%

58% acc · 21%

Body

56% acc · 56%

75% acc · 9%

Leg

By position

28% acc · 76%

Distance

25% acc · 100%

0% acc

Clinch

50% acc · 24%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jared Rosholt rounds

even

Walt Harris rounds

Round 1Walt Harris edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:04Control

2Knockdowns

Round 2Jared Rosholt edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jared Rosholt edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns1

Control3:47

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

33 / 105

Sig Strikes

18 / 71

32%

Sig Str %

18%

73 / 150

Total Strikes

19 / 72

1 / 2

TDs

0 / 1

50%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

3:47

Ctrl Time

0:04

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Walt Harris	10 / 29	11 / 30	0 / 0
1	Jared Rosholt	8 / 33	8 / 33	0 / 1
2	Walt Harris	8 / 40	8 / 40	0 / 1
2	Jared Rosholt	17 / 52	17 / 52	0 / 0
3	Walt Harris	0 / 2	0 / 2	0 / 0
3	Jared Rosholt	8 / 20	48 / 65	1 / 1

Jared Rosholt

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights8

Walt Harris

StanceSouthpaw

Height77.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights15