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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Magnus Cedenblad won · SUB R1
Elo1352
Elo1491

Jared HammanvsMagnus CedenbladUFC Prediction Result

UFC 164: Henderson vs Pettis 2 · Saturday, August 31, 2013Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA

Official fight result

Magnus Cedenblad won

SUB · Round 1 · 0:57

Style matchupJared Hamman: Pressure fightervsMagnus Cedenblad: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jared Hamman wins(50.8%)

Actual result: Magnus Cedenblad wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jared Hamman at +120 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jared Hamman is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Magnus Cedenblad has lost 50% of fights by KO.
  • Jared Hamman has 15pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Magnus Cedenblad has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Magnus Cedenblad has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jared Hamman
Red Corner
VS
Magnus Cedenblad
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-130
(57%)
1352
Elo
1491
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'5"
190.5 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jared HammanL2 streak
oldest →
W
vs Rodney Wallace · Mar 10
L
vs Kyle Kingsbury · Sep 10
W
KOvs CB Dollaway · Aug 11
L
KOvs Costas Philippou · Dec 11
L
KOvs Michael Kuiper · Aug 12
latest
Magnus Cedenblad
oldest →
L
SUBvs Francis Carmont · Apr 12
W
SUBvs Krzysztof Jotko · May 14
W
vs Scott Askham · Oct 14
W
KOvs Garreth McLellan · May 16
L
KOvs Jack Marshman · Nov 16
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jared HammanMetricMagnus Cedenblad
5.15
Strikes / min
2.38
3.93
Strikes absorbed / min
3.02
55%
Strike defense
40%
1.57
TDs / 15 min
2.87
30%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.22Δ 1.86 — meaningful gap-0.64

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1479 vs 1483Strikes46.2 vs 11.0Takedowns0.3 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.00 vs 1.00Form-0.6 vs -1.0
Jared HammanMagnus Cedenblad

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901498150515131520← oldermost recent →
Jared Hamman(6 fights)Magnus Cedenblad(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -138.3|Blue +138.3
Recent Form
Red +0.4|Blue -0.4
Striker Score
Red +2.4|Blue -2.4
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -119.0|Blue +119.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jared HammanTargetMagnus Cedenblad

By target zone

0
0% acc
Head
3
30% acc · 75%
0
Body
1
33% acc · 25%
3
75% acc · 100%
Leg
0

By position

3
38% acc · 100%
Distance
4
33% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
0% acc
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
Jared Hamman rounds
1
even
0
Magnus Cedenblad rounds
Round 1Even round
Sig. strikes3
Takedowns0
Control0:01
4Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:08Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
3 / 8
Sig Strikes
4 / 13
37%
Sig Str %
30%
3 / 8
Total Strikes
4 / 13
0 / 1
TDs
0 / 0
0%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:01
Ctrl Time
0:08

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Magnus Cedenblad4 / 134 / 130 / 01
1Jared Hamman3 / 83 / 80 / 10

Jared Hamman

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights6

Magnus Cedenblad

StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights6