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Featherweight
3 Rounds
Jared Gordon won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1483
Jared Gordon
Elo1363

Jared GordonvsMichel QuinonesUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · Sunday, June 25, 2017Oklahoma City, Oklahoma, USA

Official fight result

Jared Gordon won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:24

Model Prediction: Michel Quinones wins(52.5%)

Actual result: Jared Gordon wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Michel Quinones at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jared Gordon has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Michel Quinones has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jared Gordon
Red Corner
VS
Michel Quinones
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+115
(47%)
1483
Elo
1363
37
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
172.72 cm
Reach
185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jared GordonL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Mark Madsen · Nov 23
L
vs Nasrat Haqparast · Jun 24
W
KOvs Thiago Moises · May 25
L
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Sep 25
L
SUBvs Jim Miller · May 26
latest
Michel Quinones
oldest →
L
vs Sage Northcutt · Nov 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jared GordonMetricMichel Quinones
5.57
Strikes / min
2.91
4.11
Strikes absorbed / min
5.98
55%
Strike defense
48%
1.91
TDs / 15 min
0.00
60%
Takedown defense
36%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.46Δ 4.53 — meaningful gap-3.07
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Jared Gordon(10 fights)Michel Quinones(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +120.0|Blue -120.0
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jared GordonTargetMichel Quinones

By target zone

54
53% acc · 81%
Head
6
11% acc · 38%
5
71% acc · 7%
Body
4
25% acc · 25%
8
67% acc · 12%
Leg
6
86% acc · 38%

By position

27
42% acc · 40%
Distance
15
20% acc · 94%
4
80% acc · 6%
Clinch
1
50% acc · 6%
36
71% acc · 54%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

2
Jared Gordon rounds
0
even
0
Michel Quinones rounds
Round 1Jared Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes23
Takedowns1
Control1:17
14Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 2Jared Gordon edged it
Sig. strikes44
Takedowns3
Control3:23
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
67 / 121
Sig Strikes
16 / 78
53.5%
Sig Str %
17%
115 / 182
Total Strikes
16 / 79
4 / 6
TDs
0 / 0
80%
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
4:40
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Michel Quinones14 / 5814 / 590 / 00
1Jared Gordon23 / 4935 / 691 / 10
2Michel Quinones2 / 202 / 200 / 00
2Jared Gordon44 / 7280 / 1133 / 50

Jared Gordon

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights17

Michel Quinones

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights2