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Featherweight

3 Rounds

Jared Gordon won · U-DEC R3

Elo1483

Elo1386

Jared GordonvsChris FishgoldUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Ige · Wednesday, July 15, 2020Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates

Official fight result

Jared Gordon won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJared Gordon: Pressure fightervsChris Fishgold: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jared Gordon wins(63.9%)

Actual result: Jared Gordon wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jared Gordon at -143 American odds

+$70 profit

$170 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jared Gordon has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jared Gordon

Red Corner

Chris Fishgold

Blue Corner

-143

(59%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1483

Elo

1386

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'9"

Height

5'8"

172.72 cm

Reach

172.72 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jared GordonL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Mark Madsen · Nov 23

vs Nasrat Haqparast · Jun 24

KOvs Thiago Moises · May 25

KOvs Rafa Garcia · Sep 25

SUBvs Jim Miller · May 26

latest

Chris Fishgold

oldest →

KOvs Calvin Kattar · Oct 18

SUBvs Daniel Teymur · Feb 19

SUBvs Makwan Amirkhani · Jun 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jared GordonMetricChris Fishgold

5.57

Strikes / min

2.01

4.11

Strikes absorbed / min

2.70

55%

Strike defense

46%

1.91

TDs / 15 min

2.59

60%

Takedown defense

44%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.30

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.46Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap-0.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jared GordonChris Fishgold

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jared Gordon(10 fights)Chris Fishgold(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +96.2|Blue -96.2

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +1.5|Blue -1.5

Grappler Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red -168.0|Blue +168.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jared GordonTargetChris Fishgold

By target zone

60% acc · 80%

Head

27% acc · 65%

75% acc · 14%

Body

71% acc · 25%

100% acc · 7%

Leg

100% acc · 10%

By position

54% acc · 43%

Distance

31% acc · 80%

67% acc · 5%

Clinch

67% acc · 20%

74% acc · 52%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jared Gordon rounds

even

Chris Fishgold rounds

Round 1Jared Gordon edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns1

Control2:11

12Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:43Control

Round 2Jared Gordon edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control4:31

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Jared Gordon edged it

Sig. strikes29

Takedowns1

Control3:40

6Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

44 / 69

Sig Strikes

20 / 58

52.3%

Sig Str %

32.3%

241 / 282

Total Strikes

27 / 65

3 / 6

TDs

0 / 1

61%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

10:22

Ctrl Time

0:43

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Chris Fishgold	12 / 23	13 / 24	0 / 0	1
1	Jared Gordon	13 / 23	35 / 50	1 / 2	0
2	Chris Fishgold	2 / 9	8 / 15	0 / 0	0
2	Jared Gordon	2 / 8	75 / 90	1 / 1	0
3	Chris Fishgold	6 / 26	6 / 26	0 / 1	0
3	Jared Gordon	29 / 38	131 / 142	1 / 3	0

Jared Gordon

StanceOrthodox

Height69.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights17

Chris Fishgold

StanceOrthodox

Height68.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights4