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Middleweight

5 Rounds

Nassourdine Imavov won · KO/TKO R4

Elo1481

Elo1541

Jared CannoniervsNassourdine ImavovUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · Saturday, June 8, 2024Louisville, Kentucky, USA

Official fight result

Nassourdine Imavov won

KO/TKO · Round 4 · 1:34

Style matchupJared Cannonier: Pressure fightervsNassourdine Imavov: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Nassourdine Imavov wins(67.8%)

Actual result: Nassourdine Imavov wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Nassourdine Imavov at -130 American odds

+$77 profit

$177 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Nassourdine Imavov enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Nassourdine Imavov has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Jared Cannonier

Red Corner

Nassourdine Imavov

Blue Corner

+110

(48%)

Vegas Odds

-130

(57%)

1481

Elo

1541

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'3"

195.58 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jared CannonierL2 streak

oldest →

vs Marvin Vettori · Jun 23

vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25

vs Michael Page · Aug 25

DECvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 26

latest

Nassourdine ImavovW4 streak

oldest →

vs Sean Strickland · Jan 23

vs Roman Dolidze · Feb 24

vs Brendan Allen · Sep 24

KOvs Israel Adesanya · Feb 25

vs Caio Borralho · Sep 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jared CannonierMetricNassourdine Imavov

4.42

Strikes / min

4.28

4.35

Strikes absorbed / min

3.17

56%

Strike defense

58%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

0.74

64%

Takedown defense

81%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

1.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.07Δ 1.04 — meaningful gap+1.11

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jared CannonierNassourdine Imavov

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jared Cannonier(10 fights)Nassourdine Imavov(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -59.5|Blue +59.5

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Grappler Score

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Layoff

Red +231.0|Blue -231.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jared CannonierTargetNassourdine Imavov

By target zone

52% acc · 66%

Head

54% acc · 74%

82% acc · 14%

Body

94% acc · 20%

76% acc · 20%

Leg

100% acc · 6%

By position

58% acc · 91%

Distance

56% acc · 78%

67% acc · 9%

Clinch

89% acc · 21%

Ground

100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jared Cannonier rounds

even

Nassourdine Imavov rounds

Round 1Jared Cannonier edged it

Sig. strikes21

Takedowns1

Control2:05

14Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:10Control

Round 2Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control2:16

28Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control1:57

21Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:46Control

Round 4Nassourdine Imavov edged it

Sig. strikes8

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:14Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

64 / 109

Sig Strikes

82 / 134

57.8%

Sig Str %

61%

102 / 152

Total Strikes

106 / 159

1 / 1

TDs

2 / 3

100%

TD %

75%

Sub Att

Rev

6:18

Ctrl Time

1:10

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Nassourdine Imavov	14 / 30	16 / 32	1 / 1
1	Jared Cannonier	21 / 32	38 / 52	1 / 1
2	Jared Cannonier	17 / 32	27 / 42	0 / 0
2	Nassourdine Imavov	28 / 46	36 / 54	0 / 0
3	Nassourdine Imavov	21 / 32	33 / 45	1 / 2
3	Jared Cannonier	18 / 30	29 / 43	0 / 0
4	Nassourdine Imavov	19 / 26	21 / 28	0 / 0
4	Jared Cannonier	8 / 15	8 / 15	0 / 0

Jared Cannonier

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights21

Nassourdine Imavov

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights11