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Heavyweight

3 Rounds

Jared Cannonier won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1481

Elo1491

Jared CannoniervsCyril AskerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Rothwell vs Dos Santos · Sunday, April 10, 2016Zagreb, Croatia

Official fight result

Jared Cannonier won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:44

Style matchupJared Cannonier: Pressure fightervsCyril Asker: Wrestler

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jared Cannonier wins(68.6%)

Actual result: Jared Cannonier wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jared Cannonier at -135 American odds

+$74 profit

$174 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jared Cannonier is a KO finisher (64% of wins). Cyril Asker has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Jared Cannonier has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Cyril Asker has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

Jared Cannonier

Red Corner

Cyril Asker

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1481

Elo

1491

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'11"

Height

6'0"

195.58 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jared CannonierL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24

vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25

vs Michael Page · Aug 25

DECvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 26

latest

Cyril Asker

oldest →

KOvs Dmitrii Smoliakov · Jan 17

KOvs Walt Harris · Jun 17

SUBvs Hu Yaozong · Nov 17

KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Feb 18

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jared CannonierMetricCyril Asker

4.42

Strikes / min

3.35

4.35

Strikes absorbed / min

5.82

56%

Strike defense

35%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

4.41

64%

Takedown defense

100%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.90

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.07Δ 2.54 — meaningful gap-2.47

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jared CannonierCyril Asker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jared Cannonier(10 fights)Cyril Asker(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -9.7|Blue +9.7

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jared CannonierTargetCyril Asker

By target zone

68% acc · 56%

Head

29% acc · 77%

100% acc · 33%

Body

75% acc · 23%

100% acc · 11%

Leg

By position

71% acc · 63%

Distance

32% acc · 92%

100% acc · 15%

Clinch

100% acc · 8%

100% acc · 22%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jared Cannonier rounds

even

Cyril Asker rounds

Round 1Jared Cannonier edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:05

Knockdowns1

13Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:40Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

27 / 34

Sig Strikes

13 / 39

79%

Sig Str %

33%

27 / 34

Total Strikes

13 / 39

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 3

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

0:05

Ctrl Time

0:40

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cyril Asker	13 / 39	13 / 39	0 / 3	0
1	Jared Cannonier	27 / 34	27 / 34	0 / 0	0

Jared Cannonier

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights21

Cyril Asker

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights5