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Middleweight

3 Rounds

Jared Cannonier won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1481

Elo1391

Jared CannoniervsAnderson SilvaUFC Prediction Result

UFC 237: Namajunas vs. Andrade · Saturday, May 11, 2019Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Official fight result

Jared Cannonier won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:47

Style matchupJared Cannonier: Pressure fightervsAnderson Silva: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Anderson Silva wins(77.4%)

Actual result: Jared Cannonier wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Anderson Silva at +115 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jared Cannonier is a KO finisher (64% of wins). Anderson Silva has lost 57% of fights by KO.
Stance matchup historically favors Jared Cannonier (54.1%).

Tale of the Tape

Jared Cannonier

Red Corner

Anderson Silva

Blue Corner

-135

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1481

Elo

1391

Age

Switch

Stance

Southpaw

5'11"

Height

6'2"

195.58 cm

Reach

195.58 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jared CannonierL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Nassourdine Imavov · Jun 24

vs Caio Borralho · Aug 24

KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Feb 25

vs Michael Page · Aug 25

DECvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 26

latest

Anderson SilvaL2 streak

oldest →

vs Michael Bisping · Feb 16

vs Daniel Cormier · Jul 16

vs Derek Brunson · Feb 17

vs Israel Adesanya · Feb 19

KOvs Uriah Hall · Oct 20

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jared CannonierMetricAnderson Silva

4.42

Strikes / min

3.05

4.35

Strikes absorbed / min

2.05

56%

Strike defense

60%

0.54

TDs / 15 min

0.50

64%

Takedown defense

69%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.07evenly matched on net striking+1.00

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jared CannonierAnderson Silva

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jared Cannonier(10 fights)Anderson Silva(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +90.5|Blue -90.5

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Grappler Score

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Layoff

Red +98.0|Blue -98.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jared CannonierTargetAnderson Silva

By target zone

31% acc · 29%

Head

17% acc · 13%

67% acc · 12%

Body

75% acc · 38%

83% acc · 59%

Leg

80% acc · 50%

By position

52% acc · 82%

Distance

50% acc · 88%

75% acc · 18%

Clinch

100% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jared Cannonier rounds

even

Anderson Silva rounds

Round 1Jared Cannonier edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:09

Knockdowns1

8Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

17 / 31

Sig Strikes

8 / 15

54%

Sig Str %

53%

18 / 32

Total Strikes

8 / 15

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:09

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Anderson Silva	8 / 15	8 / 15	0 / 0	0
1	Jared Cannonier	17 / 31	18 / 32	0 / 0	0

Jared Cannonier

StanceSwitch

Height71.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights21

Anderson Silva

StanceSouthpaw

Height74.0"

Reach77.0"

Fights14