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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Jaqueline Amorim won · SUB R1

Elo1541

Elo1487

Jaqueline AmorimvsVanessa DemopoulosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Brady · Saturday, September 7, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jaqueline Amorim won

SUB · Round 1 · 3:28

Model Prediction: Jaqueline Amorim wins(80.8%)

Actual result: Jaqueline Amorim wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jaqueline Amorim at -258 American odds

+$39 profit

$139 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jaqueline Amorim has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Vanessa Demopoulos has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Jaqueline Amorim has a 23cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jaqueline Amorim

Red Corner

Vanessa Demopoulos

Blue Corner

-258

(72%)

Vegas Odds

+210

(32%)

1541

Elo

1487

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'2"

172.72 cm

Reach

149.86 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jaqueline Amorim

oldest →

KOvs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz · Aug 23

SUBvs Cory McKenna · Mar 24

SUBvs Polyana Viana · Apr 25

vs Mizuki · Oct 25

SUBvs Loma Lookboonmee · May 26

latest

Vanessa DemopoulosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · May 23

vs Kanako Murata · Oct 23

vs Emily Ducote · May 24

vs Talita Alencar · Apr 25

vs Jamey-Lyn Horth · Jun 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jaqueline AmorimMetricVanessa Demopoulos

2.43

Strikes / min

3.37

2.16

Strikes absorbed / min

5.39

54%

Strike defense

41%

2.16

TDs / 15 min

0.32

Takedown defense

26%

3.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.27Δ 2.29 — meaningful gap-2.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jaqueline AmorimVanessa Demopoulos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jaqueline Amorim(7 fights)Vanessa Demopoulos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +53.5|Blue -53.5

Recent Form

Red -0.1|Blue +0.1

Striker Score

Red +0.0|Blue -0.0

EVEN

Grappler Score

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Layoff

Red +63.0|Blue -63.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jaqueline AmorimTargetVanessa Demopoulos

By target zone

100% acc · 50%

Head

0% acc

50% acc · 50%

Body

67% acc · 100%

Leg

By position

50% acc · 50%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

Clinch

100% acc · 50%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jaqueline Amorim rounds

even

Vanessa Demopoulos rounds

Round 1Jaqueline Amorim edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns1

Control3:05

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

2 / 3

Sig Strikes

2 / 6

66%

Sig Str %

33%

12 / 16

Total Strikes

3 / 7

1 / 1

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

3:05

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Vanessa Demopoulos	2 / 6	3 / 7	0 / 0	0
1	Jaqueline Amorim	2 / 3	12 / 16	1 / 1	1

Jaqueline Amorim

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7

Vanessa Demopoulos

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach59.0"

Fights10