Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Sam Hughes won · U-DEC R3

Elo1541

Elo1509

Jaqueline AmorimvsSam HughesUFC Prediction Result

UFC 287: Pereira vs. Adesanya 2 · Saturday, April 8, 2023Miami, Florida, USA

Official fight result

Sam Hughes won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJaqueline Amorim: WrestlervsSam Hughes: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Sam Hughes wins(56.2%)

Actual result: Sam Hughes wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Sam Hughes at +220 American odds

+$220 profit

$320 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Sam Hughes has 63pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Jaqueline Amorim has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jaqueline Amorim

Red Corner

Sam Hughes

Blue Corner

-270

(73%)

Vegas Odds

+220

(31%)

1541

Elo

1509

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'5"

172.72 cm

Reach

162.56 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jaqueline Amorim

oldest →

SUBvs Cory McKenna · Mar 24

SUBvs Vanessa Demopoulos · Sep 24

SUBvs Polyana Viana · Apr 25

vs Mizuki · Oct 25

SUBvs Loma Lookboonmee · May 26

latest

Sam Hughes

oldest →

vs Yazmin Jauregui · Feb 24

vs Viktoriia Dudakova · Aug 24

vs Stephanie Luciano · Mar 25

SUBvs Shauna Bannon · Sep 25

vs Piera Rodriguez · Mar 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jaqueline AmorimMetricSam Hughes

2.43

Strikes / min

4.41

2.16

Strikes absorbed / min

4.69

54%

Strike defense

58%

2.16

TDs / 15 min

1.12

Takedown defense

63%

3.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.27evenly matched on net striking-0.28

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jaqueline AmorimSam Hughes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jaqueline Amorim(7 fights)Sam Hughes(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +31.3|Blue -31.3

Recent Form

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Striker Score

Red +49.6|Blue -49.6

Grappler Score

Red +49.9|Blue -49.9

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jaqueline AmorimTargetSam Hughes

By target zone

29% acc · 100%

Head

45% acc · 98%

0% acc

Body

33% acc · 2%

0% acc

Leg

By position

22% acc · 92%

Distance

31% acc · 41%

Clinch

86% acc · 13%

33% acc · 8%

Ground

60% acc · 46%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jaqueline Amorim rounds

even

Sam Hughes rounds

Round 1Jaqueline Amorim edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns2

Control3:24

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:02Control

Round 2Sam Hughes edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:17

6Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:29Control

Round 3Sam Hughes edged it

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:01

29Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

3:31Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

12 / 52

Sig Strikes

46 / 104

29%

Sig Str %

40.7%

52 / 109

Total Strikes

107 / 176

2 / 10

TDs

1 / 1

33.3%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

3:42

Ctrl Time

7:02

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Sam Hughes	11 / 25	13 / 27	0 / 0	0
1	Jaqueline Amorim	7 / 25	11 / 34	2 / 2	3
2	Sam Hughes	6 / 21	34 / 55	1 / 1	0
2	Jaqueline Amorim	3 / 6	8 / 11	0 / 4	0
3	Sam Hughes	29 / 58	60 / 94	0 / 0	0
3	Jaqueline Amorim	2 / 21	33 / 64	0 / 4	0

Jaqueline Amorim

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7

Sam Hughes

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach64.0"

Fights12