Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Jaqueline Amorim won · SUB R2

Elo1541

Elo1460

Jaqueline AmorimvsPolyana VianaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · Saturday, April 26, 2025Kansas City, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

Jaqueline Amorim won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:49

Model Prediction: Jaqueline Amorim wins(84.3%)

Actual result: Jaqueline Amorim wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jaqueline Amorim at -900 American odds

+$11 profit

$111 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Polyana Viana enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jaqueline Amorim threatens submissions; Polyana Viana has lost 50% of fights by sub.
Polyana Viana has 35pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jaqueline Amorim

Red Corner

Polyana Viana

Blue Corner

-900

(90%)

Vegas Odds

+610

(14%)

1541

Elo

1460

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'5"

172.72 cm

Reach

170.18 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jaqueline Amorim

oldest →

KOvs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz · Aug 23

SUBvs Cory McKenna · Mar 24

SUBvs Vanessa Demopoulos · Sep 24

vs Mizuki · Oct 25

SUBvs Loma Lookboonmee · May 26

latest

Polyana VianaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Tabatha Ricci · May 22

KOvs Jinh Yu Frey · Nov 22

SUBvs Iasmin Lucindo · Aug 23

KOvs Gillian Robertson · Jan 24

SUBvs Alice Ardelean · May 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jaqueline AmorimMetricPolyana Viana

2.43

Strikes / min

2.74

2.16

Strikes absorbed / min

2.50

54%

Strike defense

53%

2.16

TDs / 15 min

0.75

Takedown defense

35%

3.80

Sub atts / 15 min

1.70

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.27evenly matched on net striking+0.24

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jaqueline AmorimPolyana Viana

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jaqueline Amorim(7 fights)Polyana Viana(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +80.4|Blue -80.4

Recent Form

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Layoff

Red -231.0|Blue +231.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jaqueline AmorimTargetPolyana Viana

By target zone

100% acc · 83%

Head

0% acc

Body

0% acc

50% acc · 17%

Leg

By position

33% acc · 17%

Distance

0% acc

Clinch

100% acc · 83%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jaqueline Amorim rounds

even

Polyana Viana rounds

Round 1Jaqueline Amorim edged it

Sig. strikes5

Takedowns1

Control4:54

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jaqueline Amorim edged it

Sig. strikes1

Takedowns1

Control1:40

0Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

6 / 8

Sig Strikes

0 / 6

66.5%

Sig Str %

29 / 43

Total Strikes

23 / 31

2 / 2

TDs

0 / 0

100%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

6:34

Ctrl Time

0:00

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Polyana Viana	0 / 1	21 / 24	0 / 0	0
1	Jaqueline Amorim	5 / 6	25 / 36	1 / 1	0
2	Polyana Viana	0 / 5	2 / 7	0 / 0	0
2	Jaqueline Amorim	1 / 2	4 / 7	1 / 1	1

Jaqueline Amorim

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7

Polyana Viana

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach67.0"

Fights11