Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Jaqueline Amorim won · KO/TKO R3

Elo1541

Elo1471

Jaqueline AmorimvsMontserrat Conejo RuizUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · Saturday, August 12, 2023Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jaqueline Amorim won

KO/TKO · Round 3 · 3:41

Model Prediction: Jaqueline Amorim wins(87.9%)

Actual result: Jaqueline Amorim wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jaqueline Amorim at -245 American odds

+$41 profit

$141 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jaqueline Amorim has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Montserrat Conejo Ruiz has 44pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Montserrat Conejo Ruiz (53.5%).
Jaqueline Amorim has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jaqueline Amorim

Red Corner

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz

Blue Corner

-245

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+200

(33%)

1541

Elo

1471

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'3"

Height

5'0"

172.72 cm

Reach

154.94 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jaqueline Amorim

oldest →

SUBvs Cory McKenna · Mar 24

SUBvs Vanessa Demopoulos · Sep 24

SUBvs Polyana Viana · Apr 25

vs Mizuki · Oct 25

SUBvs Loma Lookboonmee · May 26

latest

Montserrat Conejo RuizL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Eduarda Moura · Nov 23

vs Alice Ardelean · Nov 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jaqueline AmorimMetricMontserrat Conejo Ruiz

2.43

Strikes / min

2.21

2.16

Strikes absorbed / min

6.19

54%

Strike defense

44%

2.16

TDs / 15 min

1.75

Takedown defense

44%

3.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.27Δ 4.25 — meaningful gap-3.98

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jaqueline AmorimMontserrat Conejo Ruiz

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jaqueline Amorim(7 fights)Montserrat Conejo Ruiz(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +69.4|Blue -69.4

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -49.6|Blue +49.6

Grappler Score

Red -48.7|Blue +48.7

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jaqueline AmorimTargetMontserrat Conejo Ruiz

By target zone

63% acc · 88%

Head

7% acc · 33%

64% acc · 10%

Body

50% acc · 33%

50% acc · 1%

Leg

67% acc · 33%

By position

40% acc · 7%

Distance

16% acc · 83%

Clinch

0% acc

66% acc · 93%

Ground

25% acc · 17%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jaqueline Amorim rounds

even

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz rounds

Round 1Jaqueline Amorim edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns1

Control4:14

1Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:37Control

Round 2Jaqueline Amorim edged it

Sig. strikes43

Takedowns0

Control3:42

2Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:24Control

Round 3Jaqueline Amorim edged it

Sig. strikes13

Takedowns0

Control0:09

3Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:38Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

86 / 136

Sig Strikes

6 / 36

62.7%

Sig Str %

26.3%

141 / 208

Total Strikes

20 / 57

1 / 3

TDs

1 / 1

25%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

8:05

Ctrl Time

3:39

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Montserrat Conejo Ruiz	1 / 2	5 / 8	0 / 0	0
1	Jaqueline Amorim	30 / 44	40 / 61	1 / 2	2
2	Montserrat Conejo Ruiz	2 / 18	7 / 26	1 / 1	0
2	Jaqueline Amorim	43 / 70	69 / 106	0 / 0	2
3	Montserrat Conejo Ruiz	3 / 16	8 / 23	0 / 0	0
3	Jaqueline Amorim	13 / 22	32 / 41	0 / 1	0

Jaqueline Amorim

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7

Montserrat Conejo Ruiz

StanceSouthpaw

Height60.0"

Reach61.0"

Fights3