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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Jaqueline Amorim won · SUB R1

Elo1541

Elo1493

Jaqueline AmorimvsCory McKennaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · Saturday, March 16, 2024Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jaqueline Amorim won

SUB · Round 1 · 1:38

Style matchupJaqueline Amorim: WrestlervsCory McKenna: Wrestler

Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.

Model Prediction: Jaqueline Amorim wins(74.6%)

Actual result: Jaqueline Amorim wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jaqueline Amorim threatens submissions; Cory McKenna has lost 33% of fights by sub.
Cory McKenna has 75pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Jaqueline Amorim has a 25cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jaqueline Amorim

Red Corner

Cory McKenna

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1541

Elo

1493

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'3"

Height

5'3"

172.72 cm

Reach

147.32 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jaqueline Amorim

oldest →

KOvs Montserrat Conejo Ruiz · Aug 23

SUBvs Vanessa Demopoulos · Sep 24

SUBvs Polyana Viana · Apr 25

vs Mizuki · Oct 25

SUBvs Loma Lookboonmee · May 26

latest

Cory McKenna

oldest →

vs Kay Hansen · Nov 20

vs Elise Reed · Mar 22

SUBvs Miranda Granger · Aug 22

vs Cheyanne Vlismas · Dec 22

vs Julia Polastri · Oct 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jaqueline AmorimMetricCory McKenna

2.43

Strikes / min

2.94

2.16

Strikes absorbed / min

3.68

54%

Strike defense

46%

2.16

TDs / 15 min

2.00

Takedown defense

75%

3.80

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.27Δ 1.01 — meaningful gap-0.74

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jaqueline AmorimCory McKenna

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jaqueline Amorim(7 fights)Cory McKenna(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +47.1|Blue -47.1

Recent Form

Red -0.4|Blue +0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red +0.9|Blue -0.9

Layoff

Red -238.0|Blue +238.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jaqueline AmorimTargetCory McKenna

By target zone

33% acc · 33%

Head

14% acc · 25%

100% acc · 67%

Body

Leg

75% acc · 75%

By position

50% acc · 67%

Distance

30% acc · 75%

Clinch

100% acc · 25%

100% acc · 33%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jaqueline Amorim rounds

even

Cory McKenna rounds

Round 1Cory McKenna edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns0

Control0:00

4Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:56Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

3 / 5

Sig Strikes

4 / 11

60%

Sig Str %

36%

3 / 5

Total Strikes

8 / 17

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 1

—

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:56

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cory McKenna	4 / 11	8 / 17	1 / 1	0
1	Jaqueline Amorim	3 / 5	3 / 5	0 / 0	4

Jaqueline Amorim

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach68.0"

Fights7

Cory McKenna

StanceOrthodox

Height63.0"

Reach58.0"

Fights6