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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
2 days away
Elo1493
Jan Blachowicz editorial illustration
Elo1600
Navajo Stirling

Jan BlachowiczvsNavajo StirlingUFC Prediction

UFC Fight Night: Medic vs. Rodriguez · Saturday, August 1, 2026Belgrade, Serbia

Fight begins in
Style matchupJan Blachowicz: Well-roundedvsNavajo Stirling: Elusive striker

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

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Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Navajo Stirling enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jan Blachowicz
Red Corner
VS
Navajo Stirling
Blue Corner
+252
(28%)
Vegas Odds
-320
(76%)
1493
Elo
1600
43
Age
28
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'4"
198.12 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jan Blachowicz
oldest →
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · Oct 21
W
KOvs Aleksandar Rakic · May 22
L
vs Alex Pereira · Jul 23
L
vs Carlos Ulberg · Mar 25
D
vs Bogdan Guskov · Dec 25
latest
Navajo StirlingW5 streak
oldest →
W
vs Tuco Tokkos · Dec 24
W
vs Ivan Erslan · May 25
W
vs Rodolfo Bellato · Sep 25
W
KOvs Bruno Lopes · Mar 26
W
KOvs Ion Cutelaba · Jun 26
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jan BlachowiczMetricNavajo Stirling
3.55
Strikes / min
6.25
3.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
52%
Strike defense
58%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
0.98
69%
Takedown defense
82%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.41Δ 3.17 — meaningful gap+3.58
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801513154515781610← oldermost recent →
Jan Blachowicz(10 fights)Navajo Stirling(5 fights)

Method Projection

Matchup projection based on both fighters' finish patterns and vulnerabilities. These three projected methods total 100%. Most likely: KO / TKO.

KO / TKO77%

Historical win share: Jan Blachowicz earned 42% of wins by KO/TKO.

Submission23%

Historical win share: Jan Blachowicz earned 17% of wins by submission.

Decision0%

Both fighters frequently end fights early.

Jan Blachowicz

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights21

Navajo Stirling

StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights6