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Middleweight
3 Rounds
Rich Attonito won · KO/TKO R2
Elo1490
Elo1490

Jamie YagervsRich AttonitoUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · Saturday, June 19, 2010Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Rich Attonito won

KO/TKO · Round 2 · 4:25

Model Prediction: Rich Attonito wins(51.4%)

Actual result: Rich Attonito wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Rich Attonito at -140 American odds

+$71 profit

$171 total returned

Tale of the Tape

Jamie Yager
Red Corner
VS
Rich Attonito
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
1490
Elo
1490
42
Age
49
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'10"
185 cm
Reach
182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 4 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamie YagerNo prior UFC fights on record.
Rich Attonito
oldest →
W
vs Rafael Natal · Sep 10
L
vs David Branch · Dec 10
W
vs Daniel Roberts · Jun 11
L
KOvs Jake Hecht · Dec 11
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamie YagerMetricRich Attonito
3.08
Strikes / min
2.28
2.55
Strikes absorbed / min
2.13
63%
Strike defense
59%
0.00
TDs / 15 min
0.74
66%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.53evenly matched on net striking+0.15
Not enough statistical data to render a radar chart for this matchup.

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
Jamie Yager(1 fights)Rich Attonito(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamie YagerTargetRich Attonito

By target zone

17
30% acc · 59%
Head
21
35% acc · 88%
1
20% acc · 3%
Body
1
50% acc · 4%
11
92% acc · 38%
Leg
2
67% acc · 8%

By position

24
35% acc · 83%
Distance
12
24% acc · 50%
4
80% acc · 14%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 4%
1
100% acc · 3%
Ground
11
73% acc · 46%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Jamie Yager rounds
0
even
1
Rich Attonito rounds
Round 1Jamie Yager edged it
Sig. strikes22
Takedowns0
Control0:00
4Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
0:51Control
Round 2Rich Attonito edged it
Sig. strikes7
Takedowns0
Control0:00
20Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:07Control

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
29 / 74
Sig Strikes
24 / 65
38%
Sig Str %
32.5%
31 / 76
Total Strikes
38 / 79
0 / 1
TDs
1 / 3
0%
TD %
33%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
1:58

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Rich Attonito4 / 164 / 161 / 30
1Jamie Yager22 / 3924 / 410 / 00
2Rich Attonito20 / 4934 / 630 / 00
2Jamie Yager7 / 357 / 350 / 10

Jamie Yager

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach
Fights1

Rich Attonito

StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights5