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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Jamie Mullarkey won · U-DEC R3

Elo1490

Elo1466

Jamie MullarkeyvsRolando BedoyaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyes · Saturday, September 27, 2025Perth, Western Australia, Australia

Official fight result

Jamie Mullarkey won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJamie Mullarkey: WrestlervsRolando Bedoya: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jamie Mullarkey wins(59.1%)

Actual result: Jamie Mullarkey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamie Mullarkey at -134 American odds

+$75 profit

$175 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jamie Mullarkey enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Rolando Bedoya enters on a 3-fight losing streak.

Tale of the Tape

Jamie Mullarkey

Red Corner

Rolando Bedoya

Blue Corner

-134

(57%)

Vegas Odds

+114

(47%)

1490

Elo

1466

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'0"

Height

5'11"

187.96 cm

Reach

187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamie MullarkeyL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Muhammad Naimov · Jun 23

vs John Makdessi · Sep 23

KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Dec 23

KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · May 24

SUBvs Quillan Salkilld · Jan 26

latest

Rolando BedoyaL3 streak

oldest →

vs Khaos Williams · May 23

vs Song Kenan · Aug 23

vs Jai Herbert · Aug 24

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamie MullarkeyMetricRolando Bedoya

4.10

Strikes / min

6.23

4.28

Strikes absorbed / min

5.50

54%

Strike defense

52%

2.46

TDs / 15 min

0.00

70%

Takedown defense

75%

0.10

Sub atts / 15 min

0.20

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-0.18evenly matched on net striking+0.73

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jamie MullarkeyRolando Bedoya

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jamie Mullarkey(10 fights)Rolando Bedoya(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +23.9|Blue -23.9

Recent Form

Red +0.6|Blue -0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Layoff

Red +91.0|Blue -91.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamie MullarkeyTargetRolando Bedoya

By target zone

43% acc · 74%

Head

34% acc · 70%

70% acc · 16%

Body

62% acc · 17%

80% acc · 9%

Leg

60% acc · 13%

By position

49% acc · 93%

Distance

37% acc · 80%

50% acc · 7%

Clinch

56% acc · 20%

0% acc

Ground

0% acc

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jamie Mullarkey rounds

even

Rolando Bedoya rounds

Round 1Jamie Mullarkey edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns2

Control3:49

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jamie Mullarkey edged it

Sig. strikes15

Takedowns0

Control1:38

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 3Rolando Bedoya edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns1

Control0:14

31Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:07Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

43 / 89

Sig Strikes

46 / 116

46%

Sig Str %

40.7%

47 / 94

Total Strikes

55 / 129

3 / 17

TDs

0 / 0

38%

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

5:41

Ctrl Time

0:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Rolando Bedoya	5 / 10	8 / 14	0 / 0	0
1	Jamie Mullarkey	3 / 8	3 / 9	2 / 2	0
2	Rolando Bedoya	10 / 33	15 / 40	0 / 0	0
2	Jamie Mullarkey	15 / 27	18 / 30	0 / 8	0
3	Rolando Bedoya	31 / 73	32 / 75	0 / 0	1
3	Jamie Mullarkey	25 / 54	26 / 55	1 / 7	0

Jamie Mullarkey

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights13

Rolando Bedoya

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach74.0"

Fights4