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Lightweight
3 Rounds
Jamie Mullarkey won · KO/TKO
Elo1490
Elo1410
Khama Worthy

Jamie MullarkeyvsKhama WorthyUFC Prediction Result

UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · Saturday, March 27, 2021Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jamie Mullarkey won

KO/TKO

Style matchupJamie Mullarkey: WrestlervsKhama Worthy: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: Jamie Mullarkey wins(55.2%)

Actual result: Jamie Mullarkey wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamie Mullarkey at +115 American odds

+$115 profit

$215 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Khama Worthy is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Jamie Mullarkey has lost 57% of fights by KO.

Tale of the Tape

Jamie Mullarkey
Red Corner
VS
Khama Worthy
Blue Corner
+115
(47%)
Vegas Odds
-135
(57%)
1490
Elo
1410
31
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
5'11"
187.96 cm
Reach
187.96 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamie Mullarkey
oldest →
W
vs John Makdessi · Sep 23
L
KOvs Nasrat Haqparast · Dec 23
L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · May 24
W
vs Rolando Bedoya · Sep 25
L
SUBvs Quillan Salkilld · Jan 26
latest
Khama WorthyL2 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Devonte Smith · Aug 19
W
SUBvs Luis Pena · Jun 20
L
KOvs Ottman Azaitar · Sep 20
L
KOvs Jai Herbert · Oct 21
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamie MullarkeyMetricKhama Worthy
4.10
Strikes / min
4.18
4.28
Strikes absorbed / min
4.45
54%
Strike defense
46%
2.46
TDs / 15 min
0.00
70%
Takedown defense
57%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.18evenly matched on net striking-0.27

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1463 vs 1520Strikes2.0 vs 4.2Takedowns3.9 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.50 vs 0.80Form-1.0 vs 0.1
Jamie MullarkeyKhama Worthy

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701483149515081520← oldermost recent →
Jamie Mullarkey(10 fights)Khama Worthy(5 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +80.2|Blue -80.2
Recent Form
Red -1.1|Blue +1.1
Striker Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red -35.0|Blue +35.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamie MullarkeyTargetKhama Worthy

By target zone

5
45% acc · 83%
Head
3
38% acc · 60%
0
Body
0
1
50% acc · 17%
Leg
2
100% acc · 40%

By position

3
33% acc · 50%
Distance
5
50% acc · 100%
0
Clinch
0
3
75% acc · 50%
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Jamie Mullarkey rounds
0
even
0
Khama Worthy rounds
Round 1Jamie Mullarkey edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:04
Knockdowns1
5Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
0Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
6 / 13
Sig Strikes
5 / 10
46%
Sig Str %
50%
6 / 13
Total Strikes
5 / 10
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
—
TD %
—
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:04
Ctrl Time
0:00

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Khama Worthy5 / 105 / 100 / 00
1Jamie Mullarkey6 / 136 / 130 / 00

Jamie Mullarkey

StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights13

Khama Worthy

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights5