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Women's Strawweight

3 Rounds

Emily Whitmire won · U-DEC R3

Elo1366

Elo1408

Jamie MoylevsEmily WhitmireUFC Prediction Result

UFC 226: Miocic vs. Cormier · Saturday, July 7, 2018Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Emily Whitmire won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJamie Moyle: Pressure fightervsEmily Whitmire: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: Jamie Moyle wins(64.1%)

Actual result: Emily Whitmire wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamie Moyle at -185 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Emily Whitmire enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Jamie Moyle has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Emily Whitmire has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

Jamie Moyle

Red Corner

Emily Whitmire

Blue Corner

-185

(65%)

Vegas Odds

+160

(38%)

1366

Elo

1408

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'1"

Height

5'5"

165.1 cm

Reach

160.02 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamie Moyle

oldest →

vs Kailin Curran · Dec 16

vs Viviane Pereira · Jun 17

latest

Emily WhitmireL3 streak

oldest →

SUBvs Gillian Robertson · Dec 17

SUBvs Alexandra Albu · Feb 19

SUBvs Amanda Ribas · Jun 19

SUBvs Polyana Viana · Aug 20

SUBvs Hannah Goldy · Sep 21

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamie MoyleMetricEmily Whitmire

4.51

Strikes / min

2.50

4.00

Strikes absorbed / min

2.98

65%

Strike defense

54%

1.00

TDs / 15 min

1.90

50%

Takedown defense

70%

0.00

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.51evenly matched on net striking-0.48

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jamie MoyleEmily Whitmire

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jamie Moyle(3 fights)Emily Whitmire(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -41.5|Blue +41.5

Recent Form

Red +0.8|Blue -0.8

Striker Score

Red +2.4|Blue -2.4

Grappler Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Layoff

Red +181.0|Blue -181.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamie MoyleTargetEmily Whitmire

By target zone

30% acc · 48%

Head

21% acc · 62%

59% acc · 26%

Body

69% acc · 17%

93% acc · 26%

Leg

100% acc · 21%

By position

43% acc · 94%

Distance

24% acc · 75%

25% acc · 2%

Clinch

50% acc · 4%

67% acc · 4%

Ground

73% acc · 21%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jamie Moyle rounds

even

Emily Whitmire rounds

Round 1Emily Whitmire edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns0

Control0:00

19Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2Jamie Moyle edged it

Sig. strikes27

Takedowns0

Control0:38

18Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:13Control

Round 3Emily Whitmire edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control0:00

16Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

4:41Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

50 / 117

Sig Strikes

53 / 183

47.3%

Sig Str %

35.7%

75 / 149

Total Strikes

111 / 264

0 / 3

TDs

1 / 2

TD %

50%

Sub Att

Rev

0:38

Ctrl Time

4:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Emily Whitmire	19 / 78	19 / 78	0 / 0
1	Jamie Moyle	17 / 39	17 / 39	0 / 0
2	Emily Whitmire	18 / 79	22 / 83	0 / 1
2	Jamie Moyle	27 / 68	28 / 69	0 / 3
3	Emily Whitmire	16 / 26	70 / 103	1 / 1
3	Jamie Moyle	6 / 10	30 / 41	0 / 0

Jamie Moyle

StanceOrthodox

Height61.0"

Reach65.0"

Fights3

Emily Whitmire

StanceOrthodox

Height65.0"

Reach63.0"

Fights6