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Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Jamey-Lyn Horth won · U-DEC R3

Elo1513

Elo1487

Jamey-Lyn HorthvsVanessa DemopoulosUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · Saturday, June 14, 2025Atlanta, Georgia, USA

Official fight result

Jamey-Lyn Horth won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Model Prediction: Jamey-Lyn Horth wins(64.0%)

Actual result: Jamey-Lyn Horth wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamey-Lyn Horth at -620 American odds

+$16 profit

$116 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jamey-Lyn Horth has 22pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Jamey-Lyn Horth has 54pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Jamey-Lyn Horth has a 18cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Red Corner

Vanessa Demopoulos

Blue Corner

-620

(86%)

Vegas Odds

+460

(18%)

1513

Elo

1487

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

5'7"

Height

5'2"

167.64 cm

Reach

149.86 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamey-Lyn Horth

oldest →

vs Veronica Hardy · Dec 23

vs Ivana Petrovic · Nov 24

vs Miranda Maverick · Dec 24

KOvs Tereza Bleda · Dec 25

DECvs JJ Aldrich · Apr 26

latest

Vanessa DemopoulosL2 streak

oldest →

vs Karolina Kowalkiewicz · May 23

vs Kanako Murata · Oct 23

vs Emily Ducote · May 24

SUBvs Jaqueline Amorim · Sep 24

vs Talita Alencar · Apr 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamey-Lyn HorthMetricVanessa Demopoulos

3.80

Strikes / min

3.37

2.64

Strikes absorbed / min

5.39

63%

Strike defense

41%

0.98

TDs / 15 min

0.32

80%

Takedown defense

26%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.40

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.16Δ 3.18 — meaningful gap-2.02

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jamey-Lyn HorthVanessa Demopoulos

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jamey-Lyn Horth(7 fights)Vanessa Demopoulos(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +26.4|Blue -26.4

Recent Form

Red +0.4|Blue -0.4

Striker Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Grappler Score

Red -0.0|Blue +0.0

EVEN

Layoff

Red +112.0|Blue -112.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamey-Lyn HorthTargetVanessa Demopoulos

By target zone

52% acc · 63%

Head

17% acc · 42%

77% acc · 24%

Body

65% acc · 47%

100% acc · 13%

Leg

67% acc · 11%

By position

59% acc · 89%

Distance

28% acc · 83%

73% acc · 8%

Clinch

50% acc · 17%

100% acc · 3%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jamey-Lyn Horth rounds

even

Vanessa Demopoulos rounds

Round 1Jamey-Lyn Horth edged it

Sig. strikes35

Takedowns1

Control0:44

5Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:12Control

Round 2Jamey-Lyn Horth edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns0

Control0:15

20Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:39Control

Round 3Jamey-Lyn Horth edged it

Sig. strikes33

Takedowns1

Control1:35

11Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:16Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

101 / 167

Sig Strikes

36 / 119

60.7%

Sig Str %

29.7%

115 / 183

Total Strikes

44 / 131

2 / 3

TDs

0 / 5

75%

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:34

Ctrl Time

1:07

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Vanessa Demopoulos	5 / 39	7 / 41	0 / 0
1	Jamey-Lyn Horth	35 / 57	36 / 58	1 / 1
2	Vanessa Demopoulos	20 / 52	23 / 55	0 / 1
2	Jamey-Lyn Horth	33 / 60	35 / 62	0 / 0
3	Vanessa Demopoulos	11 / 28	14 / 35	0 / 4
3	Jamey-Lyn Horth	33 / 50	44 / 63	1 / 2

Jamey-Lyn Horth

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights6

Vanessa Demopoulos

StanceOrthodox

Height62.0"

Reach59.0"

Fights10