Skip to content
FIGHTDETECTIVE
← All fights/Event page
Women's Flyweight
3 Rounds
Jamey-Lyn Horth won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1513
Elo1481

Jamey-Lyn HorthvsTereza BledaUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · Saturday, December 13, 2025Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Jamey-Lyn Horth won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:05

Style matchupJamey-Lyn Horth: Elusive strikervsTereza Bleda: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has more dimensions. The elusive striker needs to win the striking exchanges clearly.

Model Prediction: Jamey-Lyn Horth wins(52.3%)

Actual result: Jamey-Lyn Horth wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Jamey-Lyn Horth at +200 American odds

+$200 profit

$300 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Jamey-Lyn Horth has 20pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
  • Tereza Bleda has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jamey-Lyn Horth
Red Corner
VS
Tereza Bleda
Blue Corner
+200
(33%)
Vegas Odds
-245
(71%)
1513
Elo
1481
36
Age
24
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'7"
Height
5'9"
167.64 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamey-Lyn Horth
oldest →
L
vs Veronica Hardy · Dec 23
W
vs Ivana Petrovic · Nov 24
L
vs Miranda Maverick · Dec 24
W
vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Jun 25
L
DECvs JJ Aldrich · Apr 26
latest
Tereza Bleda
oldest →
L
KOvs Natalia Silva · Nov 22
W
vs Gabriella Fernandes · Jun 23
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamey-Lyn HorthMetricTereza Bleda
3.80
Strikes / min
2.92
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
2.14
63%
Strike defense
43%
0.98
TDs / 15 min
1.72
80%
Takedown defense
83%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.16evenly matched on net striking+0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1518 vs 1501Strikes3.6 vs 2.9Takedowns1.2 vs 1.7Sub Atts0.20 vs 0.70Form0.3 vs 0.3
Jamey-Lyn HorthTereza Bleda

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14701488150515231540← oldermost recent →
Jamey-Lyn Horth(7 fights)Tereza Bleda(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +32.2|Blue -32.2
Recent Form
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Striker Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Grappler Score
Red -0.2|Blue +0.2
Layoff
Red -728.0|Blue +728.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamey-Lyn HorthTargetTereza Bleda

By target zone

12
71% acc · 75%
Head
0
0% acc
3
75% acc · 19%
Body
2
100% acc · 100%
1
100% acc · 6%
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

9
60% acc · 56%
Distance
1
9% acc · 50%
7
100% acc · 44%
Clinch
1
100% acc · 50%
0
Ground
0

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

1
Jamey-Lyn Horth rounds
0
even
0
Tereza Bleda rounds
Round 1Jamey-Lyn Horth edged it
Sig. strikes16
Takedowns0
Control0:03
2Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
1:20Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
0
16 / 22
Sig Strikes
2 / 12
72%
Sig Str %
16%
18 / 24
Total Strikes
2 / 12
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 4
—
TD %
0%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
0:03
Ctrl Time
1:20

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Tereza Bleda2 / 122 / 120 / 40
1Jamey-Lyn Horth16 / 2218 / 240 / 00

Jamey-Lyn Horth

StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach66.0"
Fights6

Tereza Bleda

StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3