Women's Flyweight

3 Rounds

Jamey-Lyn Horth won · S-DEC R3

Elo1513

Elo1486

Jamey-Lyn HorthvsIvana PetrovicUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · Saturday, November 2, 2024Edmonton, Alberta, Canada

Official fight result

Jamey-Lyn Horth won

S-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJamey-Lyn Horth: Elusive strikervsIvana Petrovic: Wrestler

The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.

Model Prediction: Ivana Petrovic wins(53.2%)

Actual result: Jamey-Lyn Horth wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Jamey-Lyn Horth has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Ivana Petrovic (53.5%).
Ivana Petrovic has a 10cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

Jamey-Lyn Horth

Red Corner

Ivana Petrovic

Blue Corner

—

Vegas Odds

—

1513

Elo

1486

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

5'7"

Height

5'8"

167.64 cm

Reach

177.8 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

Jamey-Lyn Horth

oldest →

vs Veronica Hardy · Dec 23

vs Miranda Maverick · Dec 24

vs Vanessa Demopoulos · Jun 25

KOvs Tereza Bleda · Dec 25

DECvs JJ Aldrich · Apr 26

latest

Ivana Petrovic

oldest →

vs Luana Carolina · Jul 23

SUBvs Liang Na · Apr 24

vs Juliana Miller · May 25

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

Jamey-Lyn HorthMetricIvana Petrovic

3.80

Strikes / min

1.91

2.64

Strikes absorbed / min

2.05

63%

Strike defense

56%

0.98

TDs / 15 min

2.12

80%

Takedown defense

61%

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.80

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+1.16Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap-0.14

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Jamey-Lyn HorthIvana Petrovic

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

Jamey-Lyn Horth(7 fights)Ivana Petrovic(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +27.8|Blue -27.8

Recent Form

Red -0.7|Blue +0.7

Striker Score

Red +0.2|Blue -0.2

Grappler Score

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Layoff

Red +147.0|Blue -147.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

Jamey-Lyn HorthTargetIvana Petrovic

By target zone

33% acc · 59%

Head

27% acc · 68%

65% acc · 38%

Body

67% acc · 24%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

100% acc · 8%

By position

36% acc · 72%

Distance

33% acc · 100%

67% acc · 28%

Clinch

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

Jamey-Lyn Horth rounds

even

Ivana Petrovic rounds

Round 1Ivana Petrovic edged it

Sig. strikes3

Takedowns1

Control1:02

1Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

3:23Control

Round 2Ivana Petrovic edged it

Sig. strikes10

Takedowns0

Control0:22

9Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:43Control

Round 3Jamey-Lyn Horth edged it

Sig. strikes16

Takedowns1

Control1:06

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

1:39Control

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

29 / 70

Sig Strikes

25 / 75

42%

Sig Str %

27.7%

50 / 94

Total Strikes

67 / 128

2 / 4

TDs

2 / 6

66.5%

TD %

44.3%

Sub Att

Rev

2:30

Ctrl Time

7:45

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Ivana Petrovic	1 / 9	20 / 33	1 / 1
1	Jamey-Lyn Horth	3 / 8	10 / 16	1 / 1
2	Ivana Petrovic	9 / 25	14 / 31	1 / 3
2	Jamey-Lyn Horth	10 / 19	21 / 31	0 / 0
3	Ivana Petrovic	15 / 41	33 / 64	0 / 2
3	Jamey-Lyn Horth	16 / 43	19 / 47	1 / 3

Jamey-Lyn Horth

StanceOrthodox

Height67.0"

Reach66.0"

Fights6

Ivana Petrovic

StanceSouthpaw

Height68.0"

Reach70.0"

Fights4