← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

James Vick won · U-DEC R3

Elo1377

Elo1490

James VickvsValmir LazaroUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · Saturday, August 23, 2014Tulsa, Oklahoma, USA

Official fight result

James Vick won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJames Vick: Well-roundedvsValmir Lazaro: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: James Vick wins(65.7%)

Actual result: James Vick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

James Vick at -125 American odds

+$80 profit

$180 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

James Vick enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Valmir Lazaro has 39pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

James Vick

Red Corner

Valmir Lazaro

Blue Corner

-125

(56%)

Vegas Odds

+115

(47%)

1377

Elo

1490

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

6'3"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

James VickL4 streak

oldest →

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 18

KOvs Justin Gaethje · Aug 18

vs Paul Felder · Feb 19

KOvs Dan Hooker · Jul 19

KOvs Niko Price · Oct 19

latest

Valmir Lazaro

oldest →

vs James Krause · Feb 15

vs Michel Prazeres · Nov 15

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

James VickMetricValmir Lazaro

4.13

Strikes / min

4.87

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

4.09

60%

Strike defense

61%

0.26

TDs / 15 min

1.33

57%

Takedown defense

96%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.82evenly matched on net striking+0.78

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

James VickValmir Lazaro

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

James Vick(10 fights)Valmir Lazaro(3 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -113.6|Blue +113.6

Recent Form

Red +1.0|Blue -1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

James VickTargetValmir Lazaro

By target zone

27% acc · 66%

Head

34% acc · 70%

79% acc · 19%

Body

58% acc · 16%

85% acc · 14%

Leg

80% acc · 13%

By position

32% acc · 88%

Distance

38% acc · 87%

82% acc · 12%

Clinch

55% acc · 13%

Ground

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

James Vick rounds

even

Valmir Lazaro rounds

Round 1Valmir Lazaro edged it

Sig. strikes34

Takedowns0

Control0:07

38Sig. strikes

2Takedowns

0:20Control

Round 2Valmir Lazaro edged it

Sig. strikes25

Takedowns0

Control0:00

33Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:15Control

Round 3James Vick edged it

Sig. strikes18

Takedowns0

Control0:16

Knockdowns1

20Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:23Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

77 / 221

Sig Strikes

91 / 231

34%

Sig Str %

38.3%

83 / 227

Total Strikes

96 / 236

0 / 1

TDs

4 / 10

TD %

51%

Sub Att

Rev

0:23

Ctrl Time

0:58

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD
1	Valmir Lazaro	38 / 90	39 / 91	2 / 2
1	James Vick	34 / 91	37 / 94	0 / 0
2	Valmir Lazaro	33 / 78	35 / 80	1 / 5
2	James Vick	25 / 71	25 / 71	0 / 0
3	Valmir Lazaro	20 / 63	22 / 65	1 / 3
3	James Vick	18 / 59	21 / 62	0 / 1

James Vick

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights14

Valmir Lazaro

StanceOrthodox

Height72.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights3