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Lightweight
3 Rounds
James Vick won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1377
James Vick
Elo1491

James VickvsPolo ReyesUFC Prediction Result

UFC 211: Miocic vs. Dos Santos · Saturday, May 13, 2017Dallas, Texas, USA

Official fight result

James Vick won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:39

Model Prediction: Polo Reyes wins(55.7%)

Actual result: James Vick wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

Polo Reyes at +320 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • James Vick enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Polo Reyes is a KO finisher (75% of wins). James Vick has lost 80% of fights by KO.
  • James Vick has a 13cm reach advantage.

Tale of the Tape

James Vick
Red Corner
VS
Polo Reyes
Blue Corner
-355
(78%)
Vegas Odds
+320
(24%)
1377
Elo
1491
39
Age
32
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
5'11"
193.04 cm
Reach
180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

James VickL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 18
L
KOvs Justin Gaethje · Aug 18
L
vs Paul Felder · Feb 19
L
KOvs Dan Hooker · Jul 19
L
KOvs Niko Price · Oct 19
latest
Polo Reyes
oldest →
W
KOvs Cesar Arzamendia · Nov 15
W
KOvs Dong Hyun Ma · Jun 16
W
DECvs Jason Novelli · Nov 16
W
KOvs Matt Frevola · Jan 18
L
KOvs Damir Hadzovic · Feb 19
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

James VickMetricPolo Reyes
4.13
Strikes / min
—
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
—
60%
Strike defense
—
0.26
TDs / 15 min
—
57%
Takedown defense
—
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
—

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1587 vs 1551Strikes36.4 vs 65.0Takedowns0.1 vs 0.0Sub Atts0.71 vs 0.00Form0.6 vs 1.0
James VickPolo Reyes

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801490150015101520← oldermost recent →
James Vick(10 fights)Polo Reyes(6 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -114.6|Blue +114.6
Recent Form
Red -0.4|Blue +0.4
Striker Score
Red -0.1|Blue +0.1
Grappler Score
Red +0.1|Blue -0.1
Layoff
Red -91.0|Blue +91.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

James Vick

StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights14

Polo Reyes

StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights2