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Lightweight

3 Rounds

Dan Hooker won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1377

Elo1484

James VickvsDan HookerUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Edwards · Saturday, July 20, 2019San Antonio, Texas, USA

Official fight result

Dan Hooker won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 2:33

Style matchupJames Vick: Well-roundedvsDan Hooker: Pressure fighter

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: James Vick wins(56.1%)

Actual result: Dan Hooker wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

James Vick at +105 American odds

−$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

James Vick enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
Dan Hooker is a KO finisher (50% of wins). James Vick has lost 80% of fights by KO.
James Vick has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Dan Hooker has 20pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors Dan Hooker (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

James Vick

Red Corner

Dan Hooker

Blue Corner

+105

(49%)

Vegas Odds

-125

(56%)

1377

Elo

1484

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Switch

6'3"

Height

6'0"

193.04 cm

Reach

190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

James VickL3 streak

oldest →

KOvs Joe Duffy · Nov 17

vs Francisco Trinaldo · Feb 18

KOvs Justin Gaethje · Aug 18

vs Paul Felder · Feb 19

KOvs Niko Price · Oct 19

latest

Dan HookerL2 streak

oldest →

KOvs Claudio Puelles · Nov 22

vs Jalin Turner · Jul 23

vs Mateusz Gamrot · Aug 24

SUBvs Arman Tsarukyan · Nov 25

KOvs Benoit Saint Denis · Jan 26

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

James VickMetricDan Hooker

4.13

Strikes / min

4.82

3.31

Strikes absorbed / min

4.94

60%

Strike defense

49%

0.26

TDs / 15 min

0.68

57%

Takedown defense

77%

0.70

Sub atts / 15 min

0.60

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.82evenly matched on net striking-0.12

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

James VickDan Hooker

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

James Vick(10 fights)Dan Hooker(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red -107.2|Blue +107.2

Recent Form

Red -0.6|Blue +0.6

Striker Score

Red -0.2|Blue +0.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red -64.0|Blue +64.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

James VickTargetDan Hooker

By target zone

13% acc · 29%

Head

54% acc · 59%

0% acc

Body

0% acc

83% acc · 71%

Leg

64% acc · 41%

By position

30% acc · 100%

Distance

50% acc · 86%

Clinch

Ground

100% acc · 14%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

James Vick rounds

even

Dan Hooker rounds

Round 1Dan Hooker edged it

Sig. strikes7

Takedowns0

Control0:00

Knockdowns0

22Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:03Control

1Knockdowns

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

7 / 23

Sig Strikes

22 / 41

30%

Sig Str %

53%

7 / 23

Total Strikes

22 / 41

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 0

—

TD %

—

Sub Att

Rev

0:00

Ctrl Time

0:03

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Dan Hooker	22 / 41	22 / 41	0 / 0	0
1	James Vick	7 / 23	7 / 23	0 / 0	0

James Vick

StanceOrthodox

Height75.0"

Reach76.0"

Fights14

Dan Hooker

StanceSwitch

Height72.0"

Reach75.0"

Fights24