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Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
James Te Huna won · U-DEC R3
Elo1357
James Te Huna
Elo1352

James Te HunavsJoey BeltranUFC Prediction Result

UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman · Wednesday, July 11, 2012San Jose, California, USA

Official fight result

James Te Huna won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJames Te Huna: WrestlervsJoey Beltran: Pressure fighter

The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.

Model Prediction: James Te Huna wins(60.2%)

Actual result: James Te Huna wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

James Te Huna at -380 American odds

+$26 profit

$126 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • James Te Huna enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Joey Beltran enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
  • Joey Beltran has 17pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.

Tale of the Tape

James Te Huna
Red Corner
VS
Joey Beltran
Blue Corner
-380
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+340
(23%)
1357
Elo
1352
44
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
190.5 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

James Te HunaL4 streak
oldest →
W
vs Ryan Jimmo · Feb 13
L
SUBvs Glover Teixeira · May 13
L
KOvs Mauricio Rua · Dec 13
L
SUBvs Nate Marquardt · Jun 14
L
KOvs Steve Bosse · Mar 16
latest
Joey BeltranL3 streak
oldest →
L
vs Pat Barry · Jan 11
W
KOvs Aaron Rosa · Jun 11
L
vs Stipe Miocic · Oct 11
L
KOvs Lavar Johnson · Jan 12
L
vs Fabio Maldonado · Oct 13
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

James Te HunaMetricJoey Beltran
4.04
Strikes / min
4.92
2.99
Strikes absorbed / min
5.27
62%
Strike defense
54%
2.75
TDs / 15 min
0.48
58%
Takedown defense
75%
0.20
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.05Δ 1.40 — meaningful gap-0.35

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1517 vs 1474Strikes13.8 vs 55.4Takedowns1.5 vs 0.4Sub Atts0.25 vs 0.00Form0.6 vs -0.6
James Te HunaJoey Beltran

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14901495150015051510← oldermost recent →
James Te Huna(9 fights)Joey Beltran(8 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red +4.1|Blue -4.1
Recent Form
Red +1.3|Blue -1.3
Striker Score
Red -2.2|Blue +2.2
Grappler Score
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Layoff
Red -34.0|Blue +34.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

James Te HunaTargetJoey Beltran

By target zone

80
41% acc · 66%
Head
45
19% acc · 62%
23
74% acc · 19%
Body
11
65% acc · 15%
19
83% acc · 16%
Leg
17
94% acc · 23%

By position

109
48% acc · 89%
Distance
59
22% acc · 81%
3
50% acc · 2%
Clinch
13
100% acc · 18%
10
63% acc · 8%
Ground
1
100% acc · 1%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

3
James Te Huna rounds
0
even
0
Joey Beltran rounds
Round 1James Te Huna edged it
Sig. strikes65
Takedowns0
Control0:40
Knockdowns1
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:47Control
0Knockdowns
Round 2James Te Huna edged it
Sig. strikes26
Takedowns1
Control1:01
25Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:00Control
Round 3James Te Huna edged it
Sig. strikes31
Takedowns2
Control1:08
29Sig. strikes
1Takedowns
1:03Control
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

1
KD
0
122 / 249
Sig Strikes
73 / 278
47.3%
Sig Str %
25.7%
172 / 301
Total Strikes
90 / 296
3 / 9
TDs
1 / 2
24.3%
TD %
50%
0
Sub Att
0
0
Rev
0
2:49
Ctrl Time
1:50

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Joey Beltran19 / 8725 / 940 / 00
1James Te Huna65 / 12180 / 1360 / 10
2Joey Beltran25 / 10131 / 1070 / 00
2James Te Huna26 / 6642 / 831 / 30
3Joey Beltran29 / 9034 / 951 / 20
3James Te Huna31 / 6250 / 822 / 50

James Te Huna

StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights9

Joey Beltran

StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights8