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Lightweight

3 Rounds

James Moontasri won · SUB R2

Elo1359

Elo1357

James MoontasrivsCody PfisterUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · Saturday, February 14, 2015Broomfield, Colorado, USA

Official fight result

James Moontasri won

SUB · Round 2 · 1:49

Model Prediction: James Moontasri wins(69.2%)

Actual result: James Moontasri wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

James Moontasri at -240 American odds

+$42 profit

$142 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

James Moontasri threatens submissions; Cody Pfister has lost 67% of fights by sub.
Cody Pfister has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
James Moontasri has 79pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors James Moontasri (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

James Moontasri

Red Corner

Cody Pfister

Blue Corner

-240

(71%)

Vegas Odds

+220

(31%)

1359

Elo

1357

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'10"

180.34 cm

Reach

185.42 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

James MoontasriL2 streak

oldest →

vs Joe Ellenberger · Jun 14

SUBvs Kevin Lee · Jul 15

KOvs Anton Zafir · Nov 15

vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 16

vs Alex Morono · Dec 16

latest

Cody PfisterL2 streak

oldest →

vs Yosdenis Cedeno · Jul 15

SUBvs Sage Northcutt · Dec 15

vs Scott Holtzman · Jul 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

James MoontasriMetricCody Pfister

2.39

Strikes / min

1.41

3.86

Strikes absorbed / min

2.80

40%

Strike defense

51%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

2.82

79%

Takedown defense

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.47evenly matched on net striking-1.39

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

James MoontasriCody Pfister

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

James Moontasri(6 fights)Cody Pfister(4 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Recent Form

Red -1.0|Blue +1.0

Striker Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

James MoontasriTargetCody Pfister

By target zone

47% acc · 78%

Head

34% acc · 83%

67% acc · 19%

Body

67% acc · 17%

100% acc · 3%

Leg

By position

45% acc · 16%

Distance

21% acc · 33%

59% acc · 41%

Clinch

67% acc · 33%

47% acc · 44%

Ground

57% acc · 33%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

James Moontasri rounds

even

Cody Pfister rounds

Round 1James Moontasri edged it

Sig. strikes30

Takedowns0

Control1:46

10Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

2:24Control

Round 2Even round

Sig. strikes2

Takedowns0

Control0:42

2Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

32 / 63

Sig Strikes

12 / 32

42.5%

Sig Str %

35.5%

62 / 104

Total Strikes

12 / 32

0 / 0

TDs

0 / 8

—

TD %

Sub Att

Rev

2:28

Ctrl Time

2:24

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Cody Pfister	10 / 17	10 / 17	0 / 7	0
1	James Moontasri	30 / 57	60 / 98	0 / 0	0
2	Cody Pfister	2 / 15	2 / 15	0 / 1	0
2	James Moontasri	2 / 6	2 / 6	0 / 0	1

James Moontasri

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Cody Pfister

StanceOrthodox

Height70.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights4