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Welterweight

3 Rounds

James Moontasri won · KO/TKO R1

Elo1359

Elo1357

James MoontasrivsAnton ZafirUFC Prediction Result

UFC 193: Rousey vs Holm · Saturday, November 14, 2015Melbourne, Victoria, Australia

Official fight result

James Moontasri won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:36

Model Prediction: James Moontasri wins(57.4%)

Actual result: James Moontasri wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

James Moontasri at -400 American odds

+$25 profit

$125 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

James Moontasri enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
James Moontasri is a KO finisher (50% of wins). Anton Zafir has lost 100% of fights by KO.
Anton Zafir has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
James Moontasri has 79pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Stance matchup historically favors James Moontasri (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

James Moontasri

Red Corner

Anton Zafir

Blue Corner

-400

(80%)

Vegas Odds

+325

(24%)

1359

Elo

1357

Age

Switch

Stance

Orthodox

5'10"

Height

5'11"

180.34 cm

Reach

182.88 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

James MoontasriL3 streak

oldest →

vs Joe Ellenberger · Jun 14

SUBvs Cody Pfister · Feb 15

SUBvs Kevin Lee · Jul 15

vs Alex Oliveira · Jul 16

vs Alex Morono · Dec 16

latest

Anton Zafir

oldest →

KOvs Li Jingliang · Jul 16

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

James MoontasriMetricAnton Zafir

2.39

Strikes / min

2.99

3.86

Strikes absorbed / min

2.31

40%

Strike defense

52%

0.00

TDs / 15 min

6.11

79%

Takedown defense

0.20

Sub atts / 15 min

0.00

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

-1.47Δ 2.15 — meaningful gap+0.68

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

James MoontasriAnton Zafir

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

James Moontasri(6 fights)Anton Zafir(2 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.4|Blue -1.4

Recent Form

Red -0.3|Blue +0.3

Striker Score

Red -48.4|Blue +48.4

Grappler Score

Red -50.0|Blue +50.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

James MoontasriTargetAnton Zafir

By target zone

36% acc · 45%

Head

57% acc · 47%

75% acc · 27%

Body

75% acc · 35%

100% acc · 27%

Leg

100% acc · 18%

By position

73% acc · 73%

Distance

45% acc · 29%

50% acc · 9%

Clinch

71% acc · 29%

25% acc · 18%

Ground

100% acc · 41%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

James Moontasri rounds

even

Anton Zafir rounds

Round 1Anton Zafir edged it

Sig. strikes11

Takedowns0

Control0:03

Knockdowns1

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

2:50Control

0Knockdowns

Statistical round count disagrees with the official result — could indicate a contested decision or finish that doesn't follow round-count logic.

Fight Stats

Totals

11 / 21

Sig Strikes

17 / 25

52%

Sig Str %

68%

13 / 23

Total Strikes

31 / 40

0 / 0

TDs

1 / 3

—

TD %

33%

Sub Att

Rev

0:03

Ctrl Time

2:50

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Anton Zafir	17 / 25	31 / 40	1 / 3	0
1	James Moontasri	11 / 21	13 / 23	0 / 0	0

James Moontasri

StanceSwitch

Height70.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights6

Anton Zafir

StanceOrthodox

Height71.0"

Reach—

Fights2