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Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Travis Browne won · KO/TKO R1
Elo1351
Elo1361
Travis Browne

James McSweeneyvsTravis BrowneUFC Prediction Result

The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · Saturday, June 19, 2010Las Vegas, Nevada, USA

Official fight result

Travis Browne won

KO/TKO · Round 1 · 4:32

Style matchupJames McSweeney: Well-roundedvsTravis Browne: Well-rounded

Well-rounded vs well-rounded. Usually decided by who imposes their gameplan first.

Model Prediction: James McSweeney wins(75.1%)

Actual result: Travis Browne wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Incorrect

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

James McSweeney at +165 American odds

$100 profit

$0 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

  • Travis Browne enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
  • Travis Browne is a KO finisher (78% of wins). James McSweeney has lost 100% of fights by KO.
  • James McSweeney has 25pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
  • Stance matchup historically favors James McSweeney (52.9%).

Tale of the Tape

James McSweeney
Red Corner
VS
Travis Browne
Blue Corner
+165
(38%)
Vegas Odds
-190
(66%)
1351
Elo
1361
45
Age
44
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
6'4"
Height
6'6"
195.58 cm
Reach
200.66 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

James McSweeney
oldest →
L
KOvs Fabio Maldonado · Oct 10
latest
Travis BrowneL4 streak
oldest →
W
KOvs Matt Mitrione · Jan 16
L
KOvs Cain Velasquez · Jul 16
L
vs Fabricio Werdum · Sep 16
L
KOvs Derrick Lewis · Feb 17
L
SUBvs Aleksei Oleinik · Jul 17
latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

James McSweeneyMetricTravis Browne
3.94
Strikes / min
2.93
4.33
Strikes absorbed / min
4.31
42%
Strike defense
42%
0.52
TDs / 15 min
1.21
100%
Takedown defense
75%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.39evenly matched on net striking-1.38

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

Elo1500 vs 1500Strikes58.0 vs Takedowns1.0 vs Sub Atts2.00 vs Form0.0 vs 0.0
James McSweeneyTravis Browne

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

14801488149515031510← oldermost recent →
James McSweeney(2 fights)Travis Browne(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating
Red -10.2|Blue +10.2
Recent Form
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Striker Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Grappler Score
Red 0.0|Blue 0.0
EVEN
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

James McSweeneyTargetTravis Browne

By target zone

2
50% acc · 33%
Head
18
45% acc · 95%
1
33% acc · 17%
Body
1
33% acc · 5%
3
75% acc · 50%
Leg
0
0% acc

By position

6
55% acc · 100%
Distance
3
18% acc · 16%
0
Clinch
0
0
Ground
16
59% acc · 84%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

0
James McSweeney rounds
0
even
1
Travis Browne rounds
Round 1Travis Browne edged it
Sig. strikes6
Takedowns0
Control0:00
Knockdowns0
19Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
2:20Control
1Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

0
KD
1
6 / 11
Sig Strikes
19 / 44
54%
Sig Str %
43%
7 / 12
Total Strikes
28 / 55
0 / 0
TDs
0 / 0
TD %
0
Sub Att
1
0
Rev
0
0:00
Ctrl Time
2:20

Round-by-Round

RoundFighterSig StrTotal StrTDSub
1Travis Browne19 / 4428 / 550 / 01
1James McSweeney6 / 117 / 120 / 00

James McSweeney

StanceSwitch
Height76.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights2

Travis Browne

StanceOrthodox
Height78.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights16