← All fights/Event page

Lightweight

3 Rounds

James Krause won · U-DEC R3

Elo1493

Elo1492

James KrausevsAlex WhiteUFC Prediction Result

UFC Fight Night: Stephens vs. Choi · Sunday, January 14, 2018St. Louis, Missouri, USA

Official fight result

James Krause won

U-DEC · Round 3 · 5:00

Style matchupJames Krause: Pressure fightervsAlex White: Well-rounded

The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.

Model Prediction: James Krause wins(76.4%)

Actual result: James Krause wins · Model version: ufc_v6_2_pure_lightgbm_20260715_055615

Correct

Hypothetical $100 stake on the replay pick

James Krause at -180 American odds

+$56 profit

$156 total returned

Scouting Report

Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.

Stance matchup historically favors Alex White (53.5%).

Tale of the Tape

James Krause

Red Corner

Alex White

Blue Corner

-180

(64%)

Vegas Odds

+158

(39%)

1493

Elo

1492

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Southpaw

6'2"

Height

6'0"

185.42 cm

Reach

180.34 cm

Recent Form

Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.

James Krause

oldest →

vs Tom Gallicchio · Jul 17

KOvs Warlley Alves · Aug 18

KOvs Sergio Moraes · Nov 19

vs Trevin Giles · Feb 20

vs Claudio Silva · Oct 20

latest

Alex White

oldest →

vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Jan 17

KOvs Mitch Clarke · Sep 17

SUBvs Jim Miller · Sep 18

vs Dan Moret · Mar 19

vs Rafael Fiziev · Oct 19

latest

Output & Defense Comparison

Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.

James KrauseMetricAlex White

4.79

Strikes / min

3.76

4.11

Strikes absorbed / min

3.07

61%

Strike defense

60%

0.96

TDs / 15 min

0.92

59%

Takedown defense

71%

0.90

Sub atts / 15 min

0.50

Net striking (SLpM − SApM)

+0.68evenly matched on net striking+0.69

Statistical Profile

Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions

James KrauseAlex White

Recent Elo Trajectory

Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).

James Krause(10 fights)Alex White(10 fights)

Model Feature Differentials

Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.

ELO Rating

Red +1.1|Blue -1.1

Recent Form

Red +0.5|Blue -0.5

Striker Score

Red +1.2|Blue -1.2

Grappler Score

Red +0.1|Blue -0.1

Layoff

Red +64.0|Blue -64.0

Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage

Strike Breakdown

Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.

James KrauseTargetAlex White

By target zone

50% acc · 86%

Head

39% acc · 75%

75% acc · 9%

Body

82% acc · 25%

67% acc · 6%

Leg

0% acc

By position

42% acc · 51%

Distance

32% acc · 52%

50% acc · 3%

Clinch

80% acc · 21%

73% acc · 46%

Ground

71% acc · 27%

Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)

Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.

James Krause rounds

even

Alex White rounds

Round 1James Krause edged it

Sig. strikes12

Takedowns1

Control3:42

15Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:00Control

Round 2James Krause edged it

Sig. strikes17

Takedowns2

Control3:03

17Sig. strikes

1Takedowns

0:24Control

Round 3Alex White edged it

Sig. strikes6

Takedowns0

Control3:22

24Sig. strikes

0Takedowns

0:30Control

Statistical round count agrees with the official result.

Fight Stats

Totals

35 / 67

Sig Strikes

56 / 127

51%

Sig Str %

44.3%

56 / 93

Total Strikes

97 / 175

3 / 11

TDs

1 / 1

40%

TD %

100%

Sub Att

Rev

10:07

Ctrl Time

0:54

Round-by-Round

Round	Fighter	Sig Str	Total Str	TD	Sub
1	Alex White	15 / 34	23 / 42	0 / 0	0
1	James Krause	12 / 19	17 / 27	1 / 5	0
2	Alex White	17 / 50	30 / 64	1 / 1	0
2	James Krause	17 / 32	29 / 44	2 / 2	1
3	Alex White	24 / 43	44 / 69	0 / 0	0
3	James Krause	6 / 16	10 / 22	0 / 4	1

James Krause

StanceOrthodox

Height74.0"

Reach73.0"

Fights13

Alex White

StanceSouthpaw

Height72.0"

Reach71.0"

Fights10